Abstract:

Based on the uncertainty of the respond of water environment and resources on the background of global climate change，and aiming at the influence and potential risk on our water safety and water development and utilization of international rivers，that brought with complex nature environment and international relations on our southwestern border，this paper explored the potential risk of water disputes between our country and the four countries on the southwestern border，and used the “cloud model” to quantify and evaluate the qualitative human environment risk objectively. This study is to provide decisionmaking consultation for the development planning of the water resources in China’s southwest border and border conflict crisis disposal