RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN >> 2018, Vol. 27 >> Issue (12): 2878-2885.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201812024

Previous Articles    

Frequency Analysis of Non-Stationary Extreme High Temperature in Hunan Province

WANG Lei1,2, HE Xin-guang1,2, TAN Zi-fang1, LIU Wen3   

  1. (1. College of Resources and Environmental Science, Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410081, China; 
    2. Key Laboratory of Geospatial Big Data Mining and Application, Hunan Province, Changsha 410081, China; 
    3. College of Information and Electronic Engineering, Hunan City University, Yiyang 413002, China)
  • Online:2018-12-20 Published:2018-12-29

Abstract: The time series of hydrometeorology has lost its consistency, because of the influences of climate change and human activities. Based on the daily temperature data during the period of 1960-2013 in 89 meteorological stations over Hunan Province, the annual mean maximum temperature (AMMT) and peak over threshold (POT) are selected to detect the inconsistent characteristics of the extreme high temperature indices. The results showed that there were significant inconsistencies in the AMMT series of 59 sites (66.3%) and the POT series of 23 sites (25.8%) out of 89 stations. The parameters of five extreme distributions GLO, GEV, GPA, GNO and PE3 are estimated by using the L-moments method. From the results of Cramer-von Mises (C-M) test, we found that the GNO distribution function can better fit the series of extreme high temperature indices in Hunan Province. The non-stationary series is modified by the reduction pathway. Based on the GNO model, we calculated the estimated return levels for both the modified and non-modified extreme series at different return periods and assessed the changes of the extreme series at three different return periods. Under the conditions of climate change, the AMMT series showed an enhanced trend of intensity and a shortened trend of the return period in north Hunan, central Hunan and southeast Hunan. However, the POT series showed similar frequency characteristics variation only in northern Hunan and southeastern Hunan.

No related articles found!
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
[1] XIE Xiao-nan,XU Peng-zhu, QIN Bo-qiang. ANALYSIS ON PROBLEMS AND COUNTERMEASURES OFLANDSURFACE SUBSIDENCE IN TAILAKE BASIN[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2005, 14(1): 125 -131 .
[2] NIE Jian, BAI Yongping, SUN Ke, WANG Shijin. A FRACTAL STUDY ON THE STRUCTURE OF URBAN SYSTEM IN HONGSANJIAO AREA[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2008, 17(5): 673 .
[3] CHEN Yong-Bai, Deng- Yun-| Liang-Rui-Feng-. IMPACT OF STOPLOG INTAKE WORKS ON RESERVOIR DISCHARGED WATER TEMPERATURE[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2010, 19(03): 340 .
[4] LUO Gu-Yuan, DU Xian, HU Xiao-Yi, CA Wen-Liang, CAO Jia, SHU Wei-Qun. PROBABILISTIC RISK ANALYSIS FOR PHTHALATE ACID ESTERS OF WATER BODY IN CHONGQING SECTION OF THE YANGTZE RIVER[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2011, 20(1): 79 .
[5] LIU Chun-Xia, LI Yue-Chen, YANG Hua. SENSITIVITY ASSESSMENT OF KARST ROCKY DESERTIFICATION IN THREE GORGES RESERVOIR AREA OF CHONGQING AND ITS SPATIAL DIFFERENTIATION CHARACTERISTICS [J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2011, 20(3): 291 .
[6] YANG Yongsheng, WEN Tianfu, LIU Jutao. ANALYSIS OF CARRYING CAPACITY BASED ON TOTAL QUANTITY CONTROL OF WATER CONSUMED——A CASE STUDY IN THE YUAN RIVER BASIN[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2012, 21(03): 276 .
[7] CHEN Wenjing| ZHANG Yanping, ZHAO Chunlai, WANG Changlai. SPECIES COMPOSITION AND BIODIVERSITY OF FISH COMMUNITY IN HUKOU SECTION OF THE YANGTZE RIVER [J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2012, 21(06): 684 .
[8] ZHANG Qun|ZHANG Wen|LI Feixue|ZHANG Lin|YANG Yunli|LI Manchun. EVALUATION OF LAND USE STRUCTURE BASED ON
INFORMATION ENTROPY AND DATA ENVELOPMENT ANALYSIS]——A CASE STUDY OF WUJIN COUNTY IN CHANGZHOU
[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2013, 22(8): 1149 .
[9] LI Sisi1,2,ZHANG Liang1,DU Yun1,LIU Shuzhi1. ESTIMATION OF NONPOINT PHOSPHORUS LOAD USING IMPROVED EXPORT COEFFICIENT MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION IN WATERSHED MANAGEMENT[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2014, 23(09): 1330 .
[10] ZHANG Lingling1, WANG Zongzhi2, LI Xiaohui1, DUAN Wenwu1. STUDY ON REGIONAL WATER UTILIZATION STRUCTURE CONTROLLING STRATEGY AND DYNAMIC SIMULATION WITHIN THE GROSS VOLUME CONSTRAINTS[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2015, 24(01): 90 .