RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN >> 2023, Vol. 32 >> Issue (2): 415-426.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202302017

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Evaluation of Carbon Storage on Terrestrial Ecosystem Responses to Land Cover Change under Five Future Scenarios in Anhui Province

WU Nan1, CHEN Ning1, CHENG Peng1, SONG Ting2   

  1. (1. Anhui Provincial Academy of Eco-Environmental Science Research, Hefei 230061, China; 2. State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Regional Eco-process and Function Assessment, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, China)
  • Online:2023-02-20 Published:2023-03-09

Abstract: Based on the current status of land cover in Anhui Province in 2017, the carbon density parameters are set in combination with literature research. Under the framework of three control lines, five possible future land cover scenarios in 2035 are constructed to evaluate the response to the change of carbon storage. The results show that: (1) The total carbon storage of terrestrial ecosystems in Anhui Province were 1 005.4 Tg in 2017. The carbon storage of mountain forest areas in Western and Southern Anhui are higher, the farmland and urban areas in Northern Anhui plain and Jianghuai hilly area are lower, and the rivers and lakes along the Huaihe River and the Yangtze River are the lowest. (2) Under the five scenarios, due to the expansion of construction land (lower carbon density) and the occupation of surrounding farmland and forest land (higher carbon density), the total carbon storage decreased by 16~50 Tg. The decline range depends on the carbon density of the type of construction land occupation. The enhancement of ecological restoration has a relatively good effect on reducing the loss of carbon storage in Northern Anhui, Jianghuai and along the Yangtze River areas. (3) It is suggested that the Spatial Planning of National Land should pay attention to the optimization of green and low-carbon oriented land use structure and layout, improve the quality of urban renewal and reduce the loss of carbon storage.

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