RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (1): 100-110.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202501008

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Evaluation on Coupling and Coordination Degree of‘Water-Energy-Food’ System in Hubei Province

TIAN Pei1, FAN Jing-kun1, JIN Gui2, WU Guang-dong3, ZHAO Ze-qun1   

  1. (1. College of Urban and Environmental Sciences/Key Laboratory for Geographical Process Analysis & Simulation Hubei Province, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079, China; 2. School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074,China; 3. Water Resources Department, Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute, Wuhan 430010, China)
  • Online:2025-01-20 Published:2025-01-24

Abstract: Water, energy and food are the basic materials to ensure human production and living. Revealing the coupling and coordination degree and evolution trend of the ‘water energy food’ (WEF) system in Hubei Province can provide a scientific basis for its resource allocation and sustainable development. By constructing an evaluation index system for the coupling and coordinated development of the WEF system in Hubei Province, the coupling and coordinated development status of the WEF system from 2002 to 2022 was quantitatively evaluated. The ARIMA model was used to predict the WEF system coupling and coordinated scheduling from 2025 to 2040. The results indicate that the comprehensive development evaluation index of Hubei WEF system showed an overall upward trend from 2002 to 2022, with the development index of water resources had the greatest impact on it; The WEF system is in a high-level coupling stage; The coupling and coordination relationship of WEF system shows a gradual upward trend; The prediction results of ARIMA model show that the coupling coordination degree of Hubei WEF system from 2025 to 2040 is in a highly coupled stage. The comprehensive development evaluation index of resources shows that the comprehensive development level of water resources in Hubei Province is still unstable, and affects the rate of coordinated development of the WEF system. Therefore, strengthening the protection of water resources and optimizing the structure of water use are the key points to realize the coordinated and sustainable development of the WEF system in Hubei Province.

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