RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN >> 2023, Vol. 32 >> Issue (1): 71-82.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202301007

Previous Articles     Next Articles

Spatio-temporal Pattern Evolution and Prediction of Ecological Well-being in Jiangsu Province Based on GeoSOS-FLUS Model

FU Yong-hu1,4, XIE Wen-yan1,2, LIU Jun-qing1, WEI Fan-qing1,3, GUO Yun1, SU Feng1, YANG Yi-wen1   

  1. (1.School of Humanities and Law, Jiangsu Ocean University, Lianyungang 222005, China; 2. School of Public Administration, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, China; 3. School of Marxism, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China; 4. Department of Geography and Resource Management, The Chinese University of Hongkong, NT, Hong Kong 999077, China)
  • Online:2023-01-20 Published:2023-03-09

PDF (PC)

83

Abstract: Ecological well-being, as the material product and utility provided by ecosystem, is closely related to human survival and development, and its scientific calculation is of great significance to regional sustainable development and the improvement of human well-being. In this study, ecosystem contribution rate was used to study regional ecological well-being of Jiangsu province and analyze its spatio-temporal evolution characteristics which was supported by the ecosystem service theory, and then, GeoSOS-FLUS model was used to predict the land use status of Jiangsu province in 2025, while, ecological well-being circulation and spatial autocorrelation were analyzed based on the change of land use from 1995 to 2025. The results show that: (1) From 1995 to 2020, the total ecological well-being and per capita ecological well-being in Jiangsu province decreased with fluctuation, and the eco-economic output efficiency increased by 540.24%. (2) It was predicted that the total ecological well-being of Jiangsu province will increase slightly, with an improvement of 1.05% compared with 2020. Among the 13 study units, only the total ecological well-being of the three cities in northern Jiangsu decreased slightly. (3) During the study period, the profit of ecological well-being in Jiangsu province was generally lower than the loss caused by the change of land use, which can be explained by the results that water ecosystem was an important contribution type to maintain ecological well-being, and the conversion of cultivated land to construction land was the main reason for the spatial loss of ecological well-being in Jiangsu Province. (4) There was a significant spatial negative correlation between eco-economic output efficiency and per capita ecological well-being in Jiangsu province from 1995 to 2025, but the local spatial correlation was not significantly obvious, which was mainly characterized by low-high cluster and high-low cluster, and mainly concentrated in north and south of Jiangsu province. This study can provide theoretical and methodological references for refined management of regional ecosystem and ecological civilization construction.

No related articles found!
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited
  Shared   
  Discussed   
[1] WU Lang, ZHOU Tinggang, WEN Li, LIU Xiaolu, ZHU Xiaobo. Study on SpatioTemporal Relationship Between PM2.5 and Urbanization Based on Remote Sensing Data——A Case Study of ChengduChongqing Urban Agglomeration[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2018, 27(09): 2142 -2152 .
[2] MA Xiaoliang, LIU Guimin, WU Xiaodong, XU Haiyan, YE Linlin, ZHANG Xiaolan.  

Seasonal Variations of Dissolved Organic Carbon Exports in Streams Under Alpine Meadow in the Three Rivers’ Headwater Regions, Qinghai Tibetan Plateau [J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2018, 27(10): 2387 -2394 .
[3] SU Fang, ZHENG Ya-ping, KAN Li-na, CAI Sha . Evaluation of Services Value of Public Green Space in Provincial Capitals of Urban Agglomeration in Western China[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2018, 27(11): 2434 -2442 .
[4] LIU Ji, SUN Zhouliang, ZHANG Te, CHENG Xiong, DONG Xiaohua, TAN Xin. Hydrological Evaluations of Runoff Simulations Based on Multiple Satellite Precipitation Products over the Huayuan Catchment[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2018, 27(11): 2558 -2567 .
[5] ZHU Liyi, HE Wei, ZHU Biran, . Effect of the Lead Bioconcentration and Toxicity Combined with Silicon Dioxide  Nanoparticles on the Thyroid Endocrine System of Zebrafish Larvae[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2018, 27(11): 2588 -2596 .
[6] XIE Wu-san, WU Rong , DING Xiao-jun. Risk Assessment and Early Warning of Urban Waterlogging Based on FloodArea Model [J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2018, 27(12): 2848 -2855 .
[7] . Study on water resource carrying capacity evaluation and change in China[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, , (): 0 .
[8] . Influence of climate engineering on rainfall structure in China based on different grades of rainfall[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, , (): 0 .
[9] . A Case Study on Informationization Level Evaluation at Country Level in Yangtze River Economic Belt[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, , (): 0 .
[10] . Status of the Early Stage Fish Resources at Huangshi Section in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2019, 28(01): 60 -67 .
Copyright © RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, All Rights Reserved.
Powered by Beijing Magtech Co. Ltd