RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN >> 2007, Vol. 16 >> Issue (4): 410-410.

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MODELING THE LEVEL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE INDUSTRIAL "THREE WASTE"|POLLUTION  IN NANJING CITY

TIAN Xiao-si1|2, CHEN Jie3, ZHU Cheng, ZHU Tong-lin2   

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2007-07-21

Abstract:

Based on the famous Environmental Kuznets Curve and in the light of the economical and environmental data from 1985 to 2004 in Nanjing City,the interrelations between economical and environmental factors were analyzed and the dynamic regression models were also established using SPSS and Excel software. The results indicated that the correlation of the discharge amount of industrial waste water and GDP per capital does not fit the inverted "U" Environmental Kuznets Curve, but the "N" shape of cubic model with two turning points, at 9 000 yuan and 29 000 yuan respectively, possibly being the result of rapid change of industry structure. The correlations between the discharge amount of industrial waste gas and solid waste and GDP per capital both fit the Environmental Kuznets Curve well, and their turning points arrive early, being around 30 000 yuan and 39 000 yuan respectively. According to the turning point criterion of $500 in developed countries, the discharge amount of industrial waste gas and solid waste arrive the turning point earlier than in developed countries. As for the discharge amount of industrial "three waste" in Nanjing City, it can be concluded that: not all types of environmental indicators fit the Environmental Kuznets Curve relationship, and only the pollutants of industrial waste gas and solid waste have the character; economical factor only accounts for about 40% of the discharge amount of industrial waste water, and other factors, such as environmental policy and environmental planning, can basically explain about 60% of the discharge amount of industrial waste water; efficient policy and huge investment in environment have brought the turning point forward.

Key words: Environmental Kuznets Curve, GDP per capital, industrial “three waste”, model of simulation, Nanjing City

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