RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN >> 2006, Vol. 15 >> Issue (Sup1): 77-82.

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ON THE EVALUATION AND FORECAST OF THE YANGTZE RIVER'S WATER QUALITY

PENG Ganghua1,HUANG Liangying2   

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2006-12-20

Abstract:

In recent years,the polluted degree of water quality in the Yangtze River is becoming more and more serious and has been widespread concerned. To quantitatively study water pollution in the Yangtze River and to predict the future pollution are of great significance in the prevention and treatment of water pollution in the Yangtze River. In this paper,firstly,by reasonable assumptions,the completely mixed model and onedimensional continuous point source flow model under different circumstances are established. Based on the water quality monitoring data of 1995 to 2004,the authors compile the programs of MATLAB,calculate major pollutant's concentrations,and define the distribution of major pollutants in the Yangtze River. Secondly,through the analysis of historical data,and noting variability of the actual situation,using three exponential smoothing,the polluted states of the Yangtze Rivers water quality are analyzed and predicted. Finally,the results of the model are discussed.

Key words: pollution control, water quality model, water quality prediction

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