RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN >> 2011, Vol. 20 >> Issue (1): 48-.

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ANALYSIS ON PROBABILITIES FOR COMPENSATORY OPERATIONSBETWEEN RIVERS IN AREA OF FIRST PHASE OF WESTERN ROUTEOF SOUTH TO NORTH WATER TRANSFER PROJECT

ZHANG Yong1,2, DING Zhihong1, FENG Ping1   

  1. (1. School of Civil Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China|
    2. General Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Planning and Design, Beijing 100011, China)
  • Online:2011-01-20

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Abstract:

Based on the synchronous natural annual runoff time series from 1960 to 2000 at Daofu,Chuosijia,Zumuzu gauges,Copula method was applied to construct the runoff joint distribution models between the water transfer rivers in the area of First Phase Project of Western Route of South to North Water Transfer Project,and then the probabilities of compensatory operations between the rivers were thoroughly analyzed.The results show that among all the three probabilities of compensatory operations between the rivers,the largest was between Xianshui River and Zumuzu River,the second was between Chuosijia River and Zumuzu River and the smallest was between Xianshui River and Chuosijia River,wich were 4374%,3884% and 2582% respectively.

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