关键词: 库兹涅茨曲线, 农业用水, 经济增长

Abstract:

he hypothesis on the Kuznets Curve of agricultural water use and economic growth in China has been put forward in this paper.Based on the analysis of the trend of economic growth and agricultural water use after reforming and openingup,the authors collected China's panel data of agricultural water use per capita and economic growth indexes from 1999 to 2005,and examined the existence of Kuznets Curve of agricultural water use by econometric model,then analyzed the relationship quantitatively between the agricultural water use and economic growth.The empirical evidence demonstrates that the increase in GDP per capita and added value of farming,animal husbandry and fishery per capita may be associated with the increase of agricultural water use at first,and the quantity of agricultural water use will decline when arriving a point,which basically conforms to the characteristic of Kuznets Curve.China has already located on the right side of the curve now.However,the speed of decline is slow.So,the development of watersaving type agriculture based on the measures of management and technology must be paid more attention,which will be helpful for the improvement of the water use efficiency and the reduction of water use in agriculture.〖

Key words: Kuznets Curve, agricultural water use, economic growth