Abstract:

How to consolidate achievements of the Grain for Green Program after its governmental subsidy scheme is the focus of government and the whole society. Based on the household survey data from Wanzhou District in Chongqing, this paper applies the ordered probit method to empirically analyze the farmers attitudes toward Grain for Green Program without subsidy. Data shows that a considerable number of the sampled farmers will not continue to pay efforts for maintaining the reforested lands without subsidy, and sustainability of the Program is worrying. Analysis on the factors influencing farmers attitudes to maintaining the Programs achievements indicates that households whose heads are male, noncommunists, with few education and offfarm employment will have negative attitudes, and households with more labors, lower annual per capital income, more reforested area and ecological forests will also have negative attitudes. Results suggest that it should establish ecological compensation mechanism closely related to the provision of the Program ecological services as soon as possible during the late stage of the present direct economic subsidy and use multiple nonmonetary compensation methods to safeguard farmers economic interests. Based on the research results, this paper also gives several concrete measures to consolidate the Program achievements