RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN >> 2016, Vol. 25 >> Issue (09): 1448-1456.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201609016

Previous Articles     Next Articles

TEMPORAL AND SPATIAL VARIATION OF RAINFALL EXTREMES IN HAN RIVER BASIN FROM 1960 TO 2014

LI Dan1, GUO Sheng-lian1, HONG Xing-jun1, GUO Jing2   

  1. 1. State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science, Wuhan 430072, China;
    2. PowerChina Huadong Engineering Corporation Limited, Hangzhou 310012, China
  • Received:2016-01-06 Revised:2016-04-13 Online:2016-09-20
  • Supported by:
    Key Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China (51539009);National Natural Science Foundation of China (41401018)

Abstract: A deeper understanding of the spatiotemporal variation of rainfall extremes will help improve the ability in response to extreme disasters. The PDS/GP model for Han River basin was constructed and the Rainfall Extremes Variation Index (REVI) was proposed to analyze the annual variation of monthly rainfall extremes for the different seasons and full year from 1960 to 2014 by combing the statistical test. The study was based on a 55-year partial duration series of rainfall data from 15 gauging stations in Han River basin. Meanwhile the clustering coefficient and node degree based on the network theory was employed to study the spatial distribution on the basis of REVI in typical years for different seasons. The results show that the seasonal difference of monthly rainfall extremes was quite remarkable in Han River basin, and there were no uniform trends in recently 55 years. Among the three seasons, the situation in summer is quite opposite to that in spring and autumn, while the highest annual fluctuation was present in autumn because of monsoon climate. Spatially, by the comprehensive effects of monsoon climate, underlying surface conditions and human activities, the most dramatic change can be found in the upper reach of Han River. With increasing correlation threshold, the connectivity between stations in the whole basin decreased, which was larger in the upstream than in the middle and lower reaches of Han River. For the same correlation threshold, the results also indicated that even nearest stations had significantly different connectivity, and even some distant stations had very similar connectivity properties. The results can provide a reference for spatial interpolation of rainfall extremes.

Key words: rainfall extreme, PDS/GP model, clustering coefficient, Han River basin

CLC Number: 

  • TV125
[1] 杨涛, 陆桂华, 李会会, 等. 气候变化下水文极端事件变化预测研究进展[J]. 水科学进展, 2011, 22(2):279-286. [YANG T, LU G H, LI H H, et al. Advances in the study of projection of climate change impacts on hydrological extremes[J]. Advances in Water Science, 2011, 22(2):279-286.]
[2] NORBIATO D, BORGA M, SANGATI M, et al. Regional frequency analysis of extreme precipitation in the eastern Italian Alps and the August 29, 2003 flash flood[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2007, 345(3/4):149-166.
[3] 苏布达, 姜彤. 长江流域降水极值时间序列的分布特征[J]. 湖泊科学, 2008, 20(1):123-128. [SU B D, JIANG T. Distribution feature of time series of extreme precipitation over the Yangtze river basin[J]. Journal of Lake Sciences, 2008, 20(1):123-128.]
[4] FU G B, YU J J, YU X B, et al. Temporal variation of extreme rainfall events in China, 1961-2009[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2013, 487:48-59.
[5] VILLAFUERTE Ⅱ M Q, MATSUMOTO J, AKASAKA I, et al. Long-term trends and variability of rainfall extremes in the Philippines[J]. Atmospheric Research, 2014, 137:1-13.
[6] YADUVANSHI A, RANADE A. Effect of global temperature changes on rainfall fluctuations over river basins across Eastern Indo-Gangetic Plains[J]. Aquatic Procedia, 2015, 4:721-729.
[7] YANG T, SHAO Q X, HAO Z C, et al. Regional frequency analysis and Spatio-temporal pattern characterization of rainfall extremes in the Pearl River Basin, China[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2010, 380(3/4):386-405.
[8] 张继国, 刘新仁. 降水时空分布不均匀性的信息熵分析——(Ⅰ)基本概念与数据分析[J]. 水科学进展, 2000, 11(2):133-137. [ZHANG J G, LIU X R. Information entropy analysis on nonuniformity of precipitation distribution in time-space, Ⅰ, basic concept and data analysis[J]. Advances in Water Science, 2000, 11(2):133-137.]
[9] MISHRA A K, ÖZGER M, SINGH V P. An entropy-based investigation into the variability of precipitation[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2009, 370(1/4):139-154.
[10] WILLEMS P. Compound intensity/duration/frequency-relationships of extreme precipitation for two seasons and two storm types[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2000, 233(1/4):189-205.
[11] NTEGEKA V, WILLEMS P. Trends and multidecadal oscillations in rainfall extremes, based on a more than 100-year time series of 10 min rainfall intensities at Uccle, Belgium[J]. Water Resources Research, 2008, 44(7):W07402.
[12] WILLEMS P. Adjustment of extreme rainfall statistics accounting for multidecadal climate oscillations[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2013, 490:126-133.
[13] 王俊, 郭生练. 南水北调中线工程水源区汉江水文水资源分析关键技术研究与应用[M]. 北京:中国水利水电出版社, 2010:21-29. [WANG J, GUO S L. Research and application of key technique for the Hydrological Features and Water Resources of Han River in the Middle Route of South-to-North Water Transfer Project[M]. Beijing:China Water Power Press, 2010:21-29.]
[14] 蔡述明, 殷鸿福, 杜耘, 等. 南水北调中线工程与汉江中下游地区可持续发展[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2005, 14(4):409-412. [CAI S M, YIN H F, DU Y, et al. Effect of the middle route project of south to north water transfer on the sustainable development of the middle and lower reaches of Hanjiang river[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2005, 14(4):409-412.]
[15] 陈华, 郭生练, 郭海晋, 等. 汉江流域1951~2003年降水气温时空变化趋势分析[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2006, 15(3):340-345. [CHEN H, GUO S L, GUO H J, et al. Temporal and spatial trend in the precipitation and temperature from 1951 to 2003 in the Hanjiang basin[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2006, 15(3):340-345.]
[16] 朱明勇, 谭淑端, 张全发. 近60年汉江流域侵蚀性降雨的时空变化特征[J]. 生态环境学报, 2013, 22(9):1544-1549. [ZHU M Y, TAN S D, ZHANG Q F. Spatio-temporal variation of erosive precipitation in the Han River Basin during the past 60 years[J]. Ecology and Environmental Sciences, 2013, 22(9):1544-1549.]
[17] 史道济. 实用极值统计方法[M]. 天津:天津科技出版社, 2006. [SHI D J. Practical methods of extreme value statistics[M]. Tianjin:Tianjin Science and Technology Press, 2006.]
[18] SOLARI S, LOSADA M A. A unified statistical model for hydrological variables including the selection of threshold for the peak over threshold method[J]. Water Resources Research, 2012, 48(10):W10541.
[19] SCARROTT C, MACDONALD A. A review of extreme value threshold estimation and uncertainty quantification[J]. REVSTAT-Statistical Journal, 2012, 10(1):33-60.
[20] THOMPSON P, CAI Y Z, REEVE D, et al. Automated threshold selection methods for extreme wave analysis[J]. Coastal Engineering, 2009, 56(10):1013-1021.
[21] JONES R N, CHIEW F H S, BOUGHTON W C, et al. Estimating the sensitivity of mean annual runoff to climate change using selected hydrological models[J]. Advances in Water Resources, 2006, 29(10):1419-1429.
[22] NTEGEKA V, BAGUIS P, ROULIN E, et al. Developing tailored climate change scenarios for hydrological impact assessments[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2014, 508:307-321.
[23] TABARI H, AGHAKOUCHAK A, WILLEMS P. A perturbation approach for assessing trends in precipitation extremes across Iran[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2014, 519:1420-1427.
[24] SIVAKUMAR B, WOLDEMESKEL F M. A network-based analysis of spatial rainfall connections[J]. Environmental Modelling & Software, 2015, 69:55-62.
[25] WATTS D J, STROGATZ S H. Collective dynamics of ‘small-world’ networks[J]. Nature, 1998, 393(6684):440-442.
[26] 罗霄, 李栋梁, 王慧. 华西秋雨演变的新特征及其对大气环流的响应[J]. 高原气象, 2013, 32(4):1019-1031. [LUO X, LI D L, WANG H. New evolution features of autumn rainfall in west China and its responses to atmospheric circulation[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2013, 32(4):1019-1031.]
[1] LI Sai-Yue, LIU Wen-Chi, GU Qing, HAN Hong-Yi, ZHANG Quan-Fa. ECOENVIRONMENTAL CRISIS AND COUNTERMEASURES OF THE UPPER HAN RIVER BASIN (WATER SOURCE AREA OF THE MIDDLE ROUTE OF THE SOUTH TO NORTH WATER TRANSFER PROJECT),CHINA [J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2009, 18(3): 275-280.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
[1] YANG Gui-fang, PENG Hong-xia, CHEN Zhong-yuan, LI Chang-an, HUANG Jun-hua, HU Chao-yong. PALEOCLIMATIC IMPLICATIONS OF LANZHOU AND JIANGHAN PLAIN: A CLIMATE PROXY STUDY OF ORGANIC CARBON ISOTOPE[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2005, 14(4): 486 -490 .
[2] HU Xueyu, SUN Hongfa, CHEN Delin. ACCUMULATION AND DISTRIBUTION OF HEAVY METALS IN DOMINANT PLANTS GROWING ON TONGLUSHAN MINERAL AREAS IN HUBEI PROVINCE, CHINA[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2008, 17(3): 436 .
[3] SONG Shujun, ZHOU Wancun. EFFECTS OF LAND USE STRUCTURE ON SURFACE WATER QUALITY IN MINJIANG RIVER BASIN[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2008, 17(5): 712 .
[4] TANG Huaxiu,MA Jingsong,ZHAN Jinyan,DENG Xiangzheng. INTERPOLATION OF THE POPULATION DATA FROM CENSUS AND ACCURACY VALIDATION[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2008, 17(4): 506 .
[5] WANG Xue-lei,CAI Shu-ming,REN Xian-you,CHEN Shi-jian. ECOLOGICAL CONSTRUCTION AND PROTECTION IN THE WETLAND \=REGION OF THREE-GORGE RESERVOIR AREA[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2004, 13(2): 149 -153 .
[6] YIN Zhan-e-,-, XU Shi-yuan. CHANGES IN LAND USE AND LAND COVER AND THEIR EFFECT ON ECO ENVIRONMENT |IN PUDONG NEW AREA OF SHANGHAI[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2007, 16(4): 430 .
[7] DUAN Qiling. A STUDY ON SPATIAL STRUCTURE OF CRUDE OIL FLOW IN CHINA[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2008, 17(4): 573 .
[8] ZHANG Jian, PU Lijie, PENG Buzhuo. VARIATION OF REGIONAL LAND USE STRUCTURE BASED ON LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2007, 16(5): 578 .
[9] HUANG Jin-chuan,FANG Chuang-lin, FENG Ren-guo. QUANTITATIVE RESEARCH ON THE RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN URBANIZATION AND ECO-ENVIRONMENT——CASE OF THE THREE GORGES AREA[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2004, 13(2): 153 -158 .
[10] ZHANG Jia-Yu, FENG Hui-Fang. [J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 1992, 1(1): 7 .