RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN >> 2020, Vol. 29 >> Issue (6): 1387-1400.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202006013

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Multi-attribute Temporal Variation of Rainfall With Different Intensities in China and Its Response to ENSO

KONG Feng 1,2   

  1. (1. School of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;
    2. Center for Crisis Management Research, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China)
  • Online:2020-06-20 Published:2020-07-20

Abstract: Abstract:ENSO is one of the most significant air-sea factors affecting global and regional rainfall, and has obvious periodic characteristics. Based on the daily precipitation data of 545 meteorological stations in China from 1961 to 2016 and according to the daily rainfall intensity standard defined by the Central Meteorological Observatory of the China Meteorological Administration, this study classified the rainfall into eight intensity types, diagnosed the multi-attribute temporal variation characteristics of eight different intensity rainfall amounts and their responses to ENSO in different time and frequency domains. The results showed that: Firstly, low intensity rainfall amounts in China mainly decreased from 1961 to 2016, while high intensity rainfall amounts mainly increased. The contribution rate of rainfall amounts with different intensity to total rainfall amounts also had similar variation characteristics, so as the contribution rate of storm rainfall amounts with different intensity to total storm rainfall amounts. During the transition from low intensity rainfall to high intensity rainfall, the intermediate intensity rainfall amounts and its contribution rate increased first and then decreased. The above showed that rainfall in China was developing towards extreme direction. Secondly, except for heavy rainfall and total rainfall amounts, other rainfall amounts with different intensity had oscillation periods of 4 years or less, which was in good agreement with the occurrence and development cycle of ENSO events. Thirdly, except for light rainfall amounts, the abrupt changes of other rainfall amounts with different intensity had passed the test of 0.05 significance level. Among them, moderate rainfall, heavy rainfall, heavy rainfall, storm rainfall, heavy storm rainfall, extremely storm rainfall, total storm rainfall and total rainfall amounts changed abruptly in the year of 1967, 1972, 1995, 1995, 1996, 1994 and 1973, respectively. Among the abrupt changes mentioned above, most of the abrupt changes of low intensity rainfall occurred in La Nina year, while those of high intensity rainfall occurred in El Nino year. Fourthly, except for light rainfall, other rainfall amounts with different intensity had a good correlation with ENSO from 1961 to 2016, and passed the test of 0.05 significance level. In different time and frequency domains, rainfall with different intensity in China and ENSO had better consistency in four years and shorter scales. Especially in the low energy spectral region, the high intensity rainfall amounts and total rainfall amounts were consistent with ENSO in the long term change.

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