Abstract:

Ecological footprint (EF) is a traditional and mature approach to measure ecological carrying capacity.This paper first calculated out time series values of EF during 1989~2008 through the econometric model,and then evaluated their own load conditions.The conclusion showed that the EF value in the area around the Poyang Lake rose from 1401 million hectares in 1989 to 3145 million hectares in 2008,presenting a wavelike rising tendency in the past two decades,and the ecological carrying capacity value rose from 6255 million hectares in 1989 to 7215 million hectares in 2008,presenting a rising tendency in the past two decades.The ecological carrying capacity could meet the needs of EF and showed ecological surplus, while the surplus space decreased from 422 million hectares in 1989 to 4069 million hectares in 2008.Then, we made a cointegration test analysis between EF and the economic industry.The conclusion showed the GDP elasticity of EF was 035，and the three industrial elasticity of EF were 06683,0011,00494.Finally,we delivered several suggestions for coordination development between the ecological environment and economicindustrial development from the aspects of land management, trade exchange,consumption model,and industrial system