Please wait a minute...
Table of Content
20 August 2017, Volume 26 Issue 8
For Selected: Toggle Thumbnails
  • STUDY ON THE INFLUENCING FACTORS OF URBAN HOUSEHOLD ENERGY CONSUMPTION IN CHINA BASED ON STIRPAT MODEL

    LIU Man-zhi,LIU Xian-xian
    2017, (8):  1111.  doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201708001
    Abstract ( 421 )   PDF (905KB) ( 2 )   Save
    Related Articles | Metrics

    To explore the effects of population, income level, policy and technology on Chinese urban household energy consumption, based on the extension of STIRPAT model, we assess the effects of factors using provincial panel data of China from 2000 to 2013. The results showed that: 1% changes in the growth rate of urban life energy intensity, urban residents consumption, per capita disposable income, urbanization rate, total population, and comprehensive policy efforts may cause 0.932 2%, 0.853 7%, 0.559 2%, 0.599 8%, 0.408 0%, and -0.0120% changes in the growth rate of urban household energy consumption. In addition to the negative effect of energy conservation policy, the other five factors have a positive effect on the growth of household energy consumption. Among them, the energy intensity of life has the greatest impact on the urban household energy consumption, while the government’s energy policy has inhibitory action in the growth of urban household energy consumption, although it’s weak. The government should continue to strengthen the implementation of energy conservation policies, so as to achieve energy-saving emission reduction in the field of domestic energy consumption.

    EVOLUTION OF SPATIAL PATTERN AND INFLUENCING FACTORS OF NVOCC IN CHINA

    LIANG Shuang-bo,CAO You-hui,WU Wei,ZHANG Yu
    2017, (8):  1123.  doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201708002
    Abstract ( 434 )   PDF (1300KB) ( 3 )   Save
    Related Articles | Metrics

    The non-vessel operating common carrier (NVOCC) has important practical significance for the efficient operation of the international circulation of goods and the social and economic system in the region. We chose the list of the Chinas NVOCC in 2006-2013 as the study samples to describe and analyze the spatial features of the NVOCC in China from the spatial scales of region, province and city, and to explore the dynamic mechanisms of spatial disparities. The results showed that there are obvious spatial distribution disparities among the NVOCC in China. The coastal region has more logistics companies than inland region, the eastern region also has obvious larger number than northeast and central western regions, the southeast coastal provinces especially Shanghai and Guangdong have the most companies. The spatial disparity of NVOCC distribution among the cities seems to be more significant, showing clear separation of aggregation regions and sparse regions. In the time dimension, the total number of China’s NVOCC and the number of cities with NVOCC are increasing, but there are differences in the inter regional transfer rate. The results suggestes that comprehensive transport network, the level of regional economic development and industrial structure, regional foreign trade relations and business support are the important driving forces to explore the formation mechanism of the China’s NVOCC.

    Key wordsNVOCC; spatial pattern; concentration; China

    RESEARCH ON SHIFT ROUTE OF GRAVITY CENTER AND COUPLING COORDINATION RELATIONSHIP OF LAND USE DEGREE AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN WUHAN
    CHEN Ying,HU Meng-ke,FANG Yong
    2017, (8):  1131.  doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201708003
    Abstract ( 445 )   PDF (1277KB) ( 3 )   Save
    Related Articles | Metrics
    The coordinated development of land use and economy is of significance to the sustainable development of society. The data of land use degree and economic development from 2005 to 2014 in Wuhan were used to figure out and analyze the differences of shift route of land use degree gravity center and economic gravity center and their coupling coordination relationship of main urban area and suburban area in Wuhan. The results showed that: ① In terms of the shift route of land use degree gravity center and economic gravity center, the change in suburban area was more frequent and the range was bigger than the change in main urban area. ② In terms of the coupling coordination relationship between land use and economy, it was in a state of harmonious, synchronous development in main urban area, but in suburban area it was in a chaotic state. For all city areas, Qingshan, Qiaokou and Hannan were backward-economy type; all the others were backward-land-use type.
    Key words:economic gravity center;land use degree gravity center;Wuhan ;main urban area; suburban area

    ANALYSIS ON EVOLUTIONAL CHARACTERISTICS OF AGRICULTURAL PLANTING STRUCTURE IN MOUNTAINOUS  AREA AND ITS REGULATION——A CASE STUDY OF GUIZHOU PROVINCE

    DENG Ling-zhi,SU Wei-ci,YANG Zhen-hua,ZHENG Qun-wei
    2017, (8):  1141.  doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201708004
    Abstract ( 471 )   PDF (1155KB) ( 8 )   Save
    Related Articles | Metrics

    In order to analyze the evolution characteristics of planting structure in mountainous area, the main driving factors of planting structure, and to formulate regulation pathways of planting structure, the C-PCA coupling model (typical principal component analysis) was used in this paper to analyze the 15 driving factors of plant structure evolution from 1949 to 2013 in Guizhou Province. The results showed that: (1) The planting structure of 1949-2013 in Guizhou Province was gradually transformed to market oriented, with the proportion of economic crops increased and the proportion of grain crops decreased, and the growth rates of grain crops and economic crops were 7.24% and 2.95%, respectively; (2) The contribution rate of C-PCA coupling model showed that the main driving factors of plant structure evolution are total population, urbanization level, storage and transportation proportion, average annual temperature, annual precipitation and agricultural population proportion, and their corresponding cumulative contribution rate is 86.04%; (3) To  regulation the cropping structure in mountainous  area, both high efficient agriculture, and large data and cloud platform are needed to realize the sustainable development of agriculture and provide important support for the development of agricultural economy in mountainous  area.

    Key wordsmountainous; planting structure; driving force; C-PCA;  regulation pathways

    SIMULATION OF DISTRIBUTION OF SOIL ORGANIC MATTER BASED ON AUXILIARY VARIABLES AND NEURAL NETWORK MODEL
    JIANG Ye-feng,GUO Xi, YE Ying-cong,SUN Kai,RAO Lei, SONG Qing-li
    2017, (8):  1150.  doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201708005
    Abstract ( 216 )   PDF (2027KB) ( 3 )   Save
    Related Articles | Metrics
    Accurate spatial information about soil organic matter (SOM) is critical for farmland use and soil environmental protection. In order to find the best interpolation method of SOM at the provincial scale, here we proposed there methods, back propagation neural network combined with ordinary kriging (BPNN_OK, based on geographic coordinates, environmental factors and neighbor information as auxiliary variables), radial basis function neural network with ordinary kriging (RBFNN_OK, based on geographic coordinates, environmental factors and neighbor information as auxiliary variables) and ordinary kriging (OK), to predict the distribution of SOM. Environmental factors were extracted by digital terrain and remote sensing image analysis technique. The four-direction search method was applied to get the neighbor information. To establish and validate this method, 16 109 soil samples were collected during the project of soil-test-based formulated fertilization in Jiangxi Province in 2012 and randomly divided into two groups, as modeling points (13 693) and validation points (2 416). The results show that three methods produced the similar SOM maps. The error analyses indicated:Based on auxiliary variables and neural network model has greatly improved than OK method. Compare to OK, the root mean square errors (RMSE), mean absolute errors (MAE) and mean relative errors (MRE) of BPNN_OK were reduced 2.76 g/kg,2.34 g/kg,9.83%, RBFNN_OK were reduced 2.70 g/kg,2.29 g/kg,9.61%. This result suggested that it is helpful for improving the prediction accuracy to employ artificial neural network model in spatial prediction of SOM, and this model provides guidance how to select the model to predict soil nutrient at provincial scale, but could be improved in the future. Key words:soil organic matter; auxiliary variables; neural network model; simulation of spatial distribution
    NITROGEN LOSS AND ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS FROM SLOPING LAND USED FOR AGRICULTURE IN THE WATER LEVEL FLUCTUATION ZONE OF THE THREE GORGES RESERVOIR REGION
    JIANG Shi-wei,HE Tai-rong1, WANG Tao,TANG Jia-liang,ZHU Bo
    2017, (8):  1150.  doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201708006
    Abstract ( 399 )   PDF (1010KB) ( 5 )   Save
    Related Articles | Metrics
    The mechanisms of nitrogen(N) losses through runoff (both overland flow and interflow) represent a significant portion of the N  biogeochemical cycle have been well documented for purple soil in the Sichuan Basin. It is unclear, however, how nitrogenloss takes place in agricultural slop land in the zone of fluctuating water level in the Three Gorges reservoir region. Nutrient loss may be increased and bring a great impact on the water environment of the Three Gorges Reservoir area while slope lands in the water level fluctuation zone used by local farmers spontaneously. Nitrogenloss through runoff in hill slope cropland in the water level fluctuation zone is unclear without any in situ monitoring. In this paper, we presented an in situ monitoring study of nitrogen losing forms, contents and fluxes via different pathways from slope land used for farming in the in the water level fluctuation zone during drawdown period through 2011 to 2013. The results showed that soil erosion modulus of slope land used for farming would be 1 443 kg·hm-2·a-1,while average annual runoff is 229.7 mm with interflow accounting for 77% of the total runoff discharge. The average total nitrogen in water of overland flow and interflow was 4.85±0.85 mg·L-1,20.73±2.05 mg·L-1,respectively. The annual total nitrogen loss via overland flow and interflow was 6.63±1.19 and 35.22±3.38 kg·hm-2,respectively, accounting for 2.2% and 11.7% of applied N fertilizer. Nitrate loss via interflow is the dominant route of nitrogen loss from the slope cropland. Compared with conventional fertilization rate, the loadings of total nitrogen were significantly reduced by 25% and 48%, respectively, in the overland flow and interflow under N-reduction fertilization. This indicates that reducing nitrogen application rate may decrease significantly the environmental risk of N loss from the slope land used for farming in the water level fluctuation zone. The intensity of nitrogen loss on slope land cannot be neglected while the slope land for farming of water level fluctuating zone, which may have potential risk of water pollution in the reservoir area. Therefore, restoration the ecological barrier function of water level fluctuating zone plays an important role in protecting the water environment of the Three Gorges reservoir area, suggesting the measures of reducing nitrogen application rate.
    Key words:Three Gorges Reservoir; water level fluctuation zone; overland flow; interflow; nitrogen loading; reducing fertilizer application

    THE RESEARCH IN THE REVISED PLAN OF WATER QUALITY STANDARD OF THE NITROGEN AND PHOSPHORUS FOR THE INFLOW RIVERS IN THE NORTHWEST OF THE TAIHU LAKE

    XU Chen,WAN Rong-rong,MA Qian,YANG Gui-shan
    2017, (8):  1180.  doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201708008
    Abstract ( 378 )   PDF (1246KB) ( 2 )   Save
    Related Articles | Metrics

    Excessive input of nitrogen and phosphorus is always the main problem in the Taihu Lake basin, and it is important to cut the nitrogen and phosphorus loading from the catchment and control the water quality in the inflow rivers efficiently. The TN and TP standards in national surface water environmental quality standards of China (GB3838-2002) have discrepancy between rivers and lakes. That is, the lack of the TN standard for rivers and the inconformity between the TP standard for rivers and lakes. Thus, the pollutant control objective in lake is difficult to meet by restricting the nutrient input from rivers under nowadays’ guideline. This paper took the northwest of the Taihu Lake and its inflow rivers as case study and used the BATHTUB model to simulate the correspondence between the concentrations of TN and TP in the inflow rivers and lakes. Then a plan to revise the nitrogen and phosphorus control was proposed for the inflow rivers in the northwest of the Taihu Lake. The modeling results showed that: 1. If the inflow rivers implement the TP standard for rivers in the GB3838-2002, the TP concentration in lake would exceed its own standard and couldn’t achieve the environmental goals. 2. Provided the inflow rivers implementing the TN and TP standards for lakes in the GB3838-2002, the associated TN and TP concentrations in the lake could fulfill their environmental goals in GB3838-2002. However, this plan is lack of practical significance due to the poor water quality background in the Taihu Lake. 3. If the TN and TP concentrations for inflow rivers are inferred according to each environmental goal for lakes in the GB3838-2002, the result is more practical to implement and could guarantee the water quality in the lake. Our results may give a reference to the revise of nitrogen and phosphorus standards for inflow rivers and then the water quality in the northwest of the TaihuLake can be improved.

    Key wordsBATHTUB; the Taihu Lake; inflow rivers; TN;TP; water quality standard

    DEVELOPING ECOLOGICAL NETWORKS BASED ON MSPA AND MCR: A CASE STUDY IN YUJIANG COUNTY

    CHEN Zhu-an,KUANG Da,WEI Xiao-jian, ZHANG Li-ting
    2017, (8):  1199.  doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201708010
    Abstract ( 369 )   PDF (2756KB) ( 3 )   Save
    Related Articles | Metrics

    Under the background of rapid social and economic development in our country, the continuous progress of urbanization has led to the decrease of urban ecological patches, the ecological and environmental problems are increasing year by year. The construction of ecological networks can link the original ecological patches to improve the urban ecological environment with the service function of one of the effective ways. Based on the MSPA and the landscape index method, the ecological source of the ecological network is extracted and the comprehensive resistance surface is constructed based on the MCR model. The minimum cost path method was applied to generate potential corridors, and then based on the gravity model, the degree of intermediary center and other key corridors and stepping stone plaque was identified and extracted to build the potential ecological network of the study area. The results showed that the MSPA method can be combined with the MCR, and the potential ecological corridor of the study area can be identified by quantitative analysis, and the stepping stone patches are selected according to the mediating effect of patches. The protection of landscape elements in the study area is clear. The potential ecological source and corridor in the landscape as the main basis for the construction of ecological network can provide scientific guidance for the construction of ecological network in Yujiang County, and also provide reference for other regions.

    Key wordsMSPA; MCR; ecological networks; landscape connectivity; Yujiang county

    LEVEL Ⅰ AND Ⅱ AQUATIC ECOREGIONALIZATION IN THE #br# WATER SOURCE AREA OF DANJIANGKOU RESERVOIR

    HU Sheng,XIA Fan,ZHANG Ai-jing,GONG Zhi-juan,ZHOU Zheng, WANG Ying-cai
    2017, (8):  1208.  doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201708011
    Abstract ( 318 )   PDF (1279KB) ( 5 )   Save
    Related Articles | Metrics

    Delineation of aquatic ecoregion is the foundation of“zoning, grading, staging and classification”management of water environment in river basin.With the elevation, 
    drought degree, the average annual runoff as the level I delineation indicator, land use, soil type, slope, the per capita GDP as the level II delineation indicator, the water 
    source area of the Danjiangkou Reservoir was divided into 6 level I aquatic ecoregions and 19 level II aquatic ecoregions. Comparison of different ecoregions in aquatic habitat  conditions and  community  structure of zoobenthos, significant differences were found. Though some habitat indicator was similar between different second ecoregions, there were 
    significant differences in the community structure of zoobenthos, which suggests that the delineation scheme is scientific and reasonable, and should be a good idea for the  cosystem protection and water resources management of  the water source area of the Danjiangkou Reservoir.
    Key words:aquatic ecosystem; ecological function regionalization; water resource;  water source area of Danjiangkou

    ECOLOGICAL RISK ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT OF WATERSHED BASED ON LANDSCAPE PATTERN CHANGE——A CASE STUDY OF THE CHISHUI RIVER BASIN IN GUIZHOU
    ZHAO Weiquan,YANG Zhenhua,SU Weici,LI Ke
    2017, (8):  1218.  doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201708012
    Abstract ( 329 )   PDF (3986KB) ( 5 )   Save
    Related Articles | Metrics
    The Chishui River Basin as a typical karst area was selected as the research object, based on remote sensing data of 2000, 2005, 2008, and 2013 along with ArcMap 
    spatial analysis function of watershed landscape pattern process analysis, construction of watershed ecological risk assessment system and control measures. The results showed 
    that: during 2000-2013, the riskfree zone, potentialrisk zone, and lowrisk region increased from 166 km2, 295 km2, and 7541 km2, respectively to 563 km2, 2181 
    km2, and 11545 km2, and the moderate and seriousrisk areas were decreased by 356 km2 and 4027 km2, respectively. The ecological risk evolution pattern for the urban 
    and rural construction land as the center, the ecological risk evolving from mild, moderate and severe to potential or no risk zone, mild moderate and severe mainly from point 
    spread or increase potential and no risk areas are distributed in the contiguous farmland area and mountainous hilly region; source of risk control measures of different 
    ecological based on the risk area, has very important significance to establish the early warning mechanism, ecological risk reduction basin watershed ecological environment 
    risk, maintain basin ecological service function.
    Key words:landscapepattern; chishui river in guizhou; patershed; ecological risk
    SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION CHARACTERISTICS OF SOIL CONSERVATION #br# SERVICE IN WANZHOU DISTRICT BASED ON GIS AND RUSLE MODEL
    LU Chuanhao,DAI Fuqiang,LIU Gangcai
    2017, (8):  1228.  doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201708013
    Abstract ( 348 )   PDF (3427KB) ( 2 )   Save
    Related Articles | Metrics
    Soil conservation service is one of the most important ecosystem services, which represents the positive function of ecosystem to reduce soil erosion. Data from 
    WanZhou District including precipitation, soil characteristics, DEM et al., based on revised universal soil loss equation(RUSLE) and GIS method was used to investigate the 
    spatial distribution characteristics of soil conservation service. and the influencing factors. The results showed that the total soil conservation capacity and mean soil 
    conservation capacity were 1 43584×105 t/a and 41791 t/(hm2·a), indicating a great significance of soil conservation service. In further, spatial distribution of soil 
    conservation service was mainly influenced by terrain and human activities. Soil conservation was high in southeastern mountain area, and low in the Yangtze river valley between  Tiefeng mountain and Fangdou mountain, ;while soil erosion showed the opposite spatial distribution characteristics. A slope of 15-25 degree owned the largest erosion,  contributing 4157% of the total erosion amount, and a slope of 8-15 degree ranked the second, with concentrated contradiction between human and land. In terms of land type,  dry land region was the main source of erosion, and woodland area showed high soil conservation service. There is a strong need for changing land use and taking measures such as  returning farmland to forest to improve the level of soil conservation service. The results can give support to control soil erosion and improve soil conservation service in  Wanzhou District and Three Gorges Reservoir area.
    Key words:Wanzhou district; soil erosion; soil conservation; spatial distribution; influence factor
    STUDY OF CONSTRUCTION AND OPTIMIZATION OF ECOLOGICAL SECURITY PATTERN OF LAKE BASIN IN PLATEAU BASED ON GIS——A CASE STUDY OF XINGYUN LAKE BASIN
    ZHU Jun, LI Yimin,YU Yanhong
    2017, (8):  1237.  doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201708014
    Abstract ( 978 )   PDF (3022KB) ( 2 )   Save
    Related Articles | Metrics
    Based on the characteristics of natural and cultural environments of Xingyun Lake Basin, the main ecological environment problems, the ecological safety spatial  pattern and its optimization in Xingyun Lake basin were analyzed using the principle and method of landscape ecology, entropy method and GIS spatial analysis technology. The  factors such as altitude, slope, soil erosion intensity, susceptibility of geological hazards, land cover(use and vegetation coverage), population density, distance from the  natural ecological protection zone, construction land and the water source were selected as the resistance factor to generate comprehensive resistance element. Basin ecological  corridor and ecological node were established to optimize the structure and function of ecological network in basin by using the minimum cumulative resistance model(MRC) on  theory of GIS spatial cost distance. The results showed that:(1) from the perspective of the area ratio and the average index of ecological security, the area of moderate level  security accounting for 4581%, the area of high level of security accounting for 2524%, the area of Lower level of security accounting for 2105%, the area of Low level of  security accounting for 79% of study area. Average ecological safety index in Xingyun Lake basin was 295, the ecological security and ecosystem health as a whole was in  moderate level. But the ecological level of security is low in some areas else that mainly distributed in the southern, Eastern and northern regions. The factors such as slope,  water resource environment, water and soil loss, and disturbance factors of human activities such as Land use pattern, distance from construction land are the main factors to  form the ecological security pattern of the basin.(2) An ecological security network pattern with structured and hierarchical consists of Central Ecological sources, core  ecological source and general ecological source, multiple levels ecological corridor and ecological nodes was established. The ecological corridors and ecological nodes in  different levels and ecological source structure were discriminatively constructed and protected that will effectively enhance the integrity and function value of basin  ecosystem, and then it will be helpful to enhance stability and security of basin ecology.
    Key words:entropy method; GIS spatial analysis; minimum cumulative resistance model; ecological security; Xingyun Lake basin
    WSM BASED IDENTIFICATION OF IMPORTANT ECOLOGICAL LAND USE IN PLATEAU LAKE BASIN——A CASE STUDY OF XINGYUN LAKE BASIN
    LI Yimin,GUAN Chengwen,ZHU Jun,YU Yanhong
    2017, (8):  1251.  doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201708015
    Abstract ( 398 )   PDF (3305KB) ( 3 )   Save
    Related Articles | Metrics
    Ecological land plays an important role in maintaining regional ecological balance and ensuring regional ecological security. Taking Xingyun Lake Basin in Yunnan  Province as the study area and using AHP and GIS technology, from the soil and water conservation, geological disaster avoidance and protection, biodiversity protection and water resources security, this paper constructs the important ecological land identification index and its identification method, and identifies the spatial distribution of  important ecological land . Results show that (1)WSM is more suitable for identifying important ecological land in Plateau Lake Basin;(2)The area of important ecological  land belonging to core type,auxiliary type,transitional type and non important ecological land was 7598 km2,10505 km2,8947 km2 and 6511 km2,respectively, and  accounting for 2264%,3130%,2666% and 1940% of the total ecological land.The results can reflect the important ecological land to maintain ecological security of the basin. Xingyun Lake Basin as a typical Plateau Lake Basin, provides scientific direction for the ecological protection of the plateau lake, achieves a win-win between economic  development and ecological protection, and promotes the sustainable development of the basin.
    Key words:Important ecological land;GIS;Weighted stacking; Plateau lake;Xingyun lake basin
    FARM HOUSEHOLDS’ WILLINGNESS TO PAY(WTP) FOR ECOLOGICAL #br# COMPENSATION: INFLUENTIAL FACTORS AND DISCREPANCIES IN THE#br#  CASE OF FORESTRY ECOLOGICAL FUNCTION AREAS IN YUNNAN PROVINCE
    WEN Qing1,YIN Ning1, LV Ming1, ZHANG Haodong2, WANG Yumeng3
    2017, (8):  1260.  doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201708016
    Abstract ( 356 )   PDF (1061KB) ( 2 )   Save
    Related Articles | Metrics
    Ecological compensation is an effective method to coordinate the harmonious development of economy and resource environment and to resolve the contradiction between  ecological environment and economic growth. It has profound significance for promoting the construction of ecological civilization. Based on the survey data from farm households  in five cities in Yunnan Province, this research, using bivariate Probit model, analyzed key influencing factors of farmers’ willingness to pay(WTP) for ecological compensation  and their discrepancies in the forestry ecological function areas. The results showed that most farmers were willing to pay for ecological compensation; main factors that  affected their WTP included: gender, age, concurrent business, family population, the proportion of offfarm income, the cognition of importance of ecological compensation,  whether the economic benefit of forests is more important than its ecological benefit, their satisfaction with ecological environment, whether the government has advocated  ecological compensation as well as the degree of access to information. Age, household agricultural labor force and the degree of access to information had an importance  influence on farmers’ WTP; family population, the proportion of offfarm income and government compensation played a major role in influencing households’ WTP; four factors,  whether having concurrent business, the proportion of offfarm income, the degree of understanding of ecological compensation and access to information, had more significant  influence on WTP of traditional farmers; trust on policy implementation and industrial development situation have played an important role. Therefore, this research put forward  the following specific countermeasures: improving government service function in rural employment, encouraging farmers taking offfarm employment and entrepreneurship,  improving the construction of environmental education system in ecological function areas, promoting farmers’ environmental protection consciousness, strengthening government  responsibility and policy promotion and enforcement, building a comprehensive and ameliorated publicity medium of ecological compensation, as well as establishing and  implementation of differentiated ecological compensation measures.
    Key words:forestry ecological function areas in Yunnan province; farm households; ecological compensation; willingness to pay; influential factor; discrepancy
     
    CHARACTERISTICS OF WINTER PRECIPITATION AND CIRCULATION FOR PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES IN DONGTING LAKE BASIN DURING 1961-2014
    SHANG Chengpeng,ZHANG Xinping,ZHANG Xinzhu,YAO Tianci,WANG Ting
    2017, (8):  1273.  doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201708018
    Abstract ( 401 )   PDF (5540KB) ( 4 )   Save
    Related Articles | Metrics
    Based on the monthly precipitation data of 96 meteorological stations from 1961 to 2015 in the Dongting Lake Basin and monthly mean reanalysis dataset from NCEP/NCAR,  we analyzed spatialtemporal variation characteristics of winter precipitation in recent 54 years in Dongting Lake Basin and the feature of atmospheric circulation and water  vapor transport during typical winter flood/drought years. We also discussed the relationships between annual winter precipitation and synchronized Eurasian Circulation Index (EUCI), precipitable water, water vapor flux divergence. The results showed that, winter precipitation in the Dongting Lake Basin exhibits remarkable interannual and inter decadal variation characteristics in the past 54 years, for concrete manifestation, there were less rainfall in 1960s and 1970s, more rainfall from 1980s to late 1990s, winter  precipitation exhibits fluctuant decreasing trend after entering 21 century. In addition, winter mean precipitation and standard deviation of winter precipitation in the  Dongting Lake Basin both exhibit decreasing spatial distribution characteristics from south to north, east to west. In terms of the feature of atmospheric circulation and water  vapor transport, spatial distribution are roughly opposite during typical winter flood years and typical winter drought years. the results showed that anomalous winter  precipitation in the Dongting Lake Basin are closely associated with largescale circulation situation anomaly. By respectively calculating correlation coefficient between  annual precipitable water, water vapor flux divergence, Eurasian Circulation Index and winter precipitation in the Dongting Lake Basin, we found that there are fairly good  relationships between them, correlation coefficient are respectively 0.43, -0.68, -0.53, and all are significant above the 0.01 significance level.
    Key words:Dongting Lake Basin; winter precipitation; atmospheric circulation; water vapor transport
    CHANGE CHARACTERISTICS OF HISTORICAL FLOOD AND #br# DROUGHT DISASTERS IN POYANG LAKE BASIN #br# WITH A VIEW TO CLIMATE CHANGE
    TANG Guohua1,2,HU Zhenpeng1
    2017, (8):  1274.  doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201708017
    Abstract ( 402 )   Save
    Related Articles | Metrics
    Data of 435 years records of flood and drought disasters during 381-1949 A.D. in the Poyang Lake basin are collected in this paper. The drought and wet history periods  are divided and the start and end times of each period are also determine. The classification of flood and drought disasters are scientifically divided, then the corresponding  Moisture Index value is also determined based on historical information carried by the record. The mean value and variance of the Moisture Index in each wet and dry period from  960 to 1949 AD. are calculated improving the PⅢ frequency curve fitting method. The variations characteristics of the historical flood and drought disasters have been  studied. The research showed that there were three periods of wetnessdrought in the period of 960-1698 AD., then on there were over 250 years of wet and cold climate. During  the wet period,the numbers of serious flood year is much mone than the numbers of serious drought year. During the drought period,the numbers of drought years was slightly more  than the numbers of flood year,but the numbers of serious drought year is more than the numbers of serious flood year.
    Key words:climate change;flood and drought disasters;history records; change characteristics;Poyang Lake
Quick Search
Archive

WeChat public address
Links