基于有序Logistic回归的水库移民住房感知实证研究

doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201704005

长江流域资源与环境 >> 2017, Vol. 26 >> Issue (04): 519-529.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201704005

基于有序Logistic回归的水库移民住房感知实证研究

刘钢^1,2, 宋亚倩¹, 樊力硕¹, 汪志强¹

1. 河海大学管理科学研究所, 江苏南京 211100;
2. 沿海开发与保护协调创新中心, 江苏南京 210098

收稿日期:2016-08-31 修回日期:2016-12-13 出版日期:2017-04-20
通讯作者: 宋亚倩 E-mail:yaqian_song1994@163.com
作者简介:刘钢(1981~),男,讲师,硕导,主要研究方向为统计分析与生态经济学.E-mail:lglhm@msn.com
基金资助:
国家社会科学基金青年项目（14CGL030）；教育部高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金项目（新教师类）（20130094120022）；河海大学中央高校基本科研业务费项目（2015B09314，2015B06414）

EMPIRICAL RESEARCH OF HOUSING PERCEPTIONS OF RESERVOIR IMMIGRANT BASED ON ORDERLY LOGISTIC REGRESSION

LIU Gang^1,2, SONG Ya-qian¹, FAN Li-shuo¹, WANG Zhi-qiang¹

1. Management science institute of HOHAI University, Nanjing 211100, China;
2. Coastal Development and Protection Coordination Innovation Center, Nanjing 210098, China

Received:2016-08-31 Revised:2016-12-13 Online:2017-04-20
Supported by:
National Social Science Fund (14CGL030);Supported by Doctoral Fund of Ministry of Education of China (20130094120022);Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (2015B09314, 2015B06414)

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 针对水利工程移民的住房感知问题和住房感知等级为定序变量的特点，基于有序logistic回归分析理论，构建移民住房感知的有序logistic回归模型，并针对浯溪口水利枢纽工程移民进行实证研究。主要结论如下：①施肥种类、最高教育水平和家庭年收入对移民住房感知存在显著正向作用，水源种类对移民住房感知存在显著负向作用。②施肥种类要素分析表明，当地移民生活对农业生产依赖性较高，且移民对区域交通状态改变预期是导致其住房感知差异化的主要因素。③最高教育水平要素分析表明，教育程度越高，移民住房感知越高。④水源要素分析表明，移民对水源的获取难度和成本的预期越差，其住房感知越差。⑤家庭年收入要素分析表明，家庭年收入越高，移民对未来的预期越好，其住房感知越高，经济发展是解决移民问题的基础。

关键词: 有序logistic回归, 水库移民, 住房感知

Abstract: Aiming at the problem of housing perceptions of hydraulic engineering immigrants and considering factor that level of housing perceptions is ordinal variable, this paper established orderly Logistic regression model of immigrants housing perception based on the theory of orderly Logistic regression and carried out empirical researches on WUXIKOU hydraulic engineer immigrants. The main results are as follows:1. fertilization type, highest level of education, and household income has significantly positive effects on immigrants housing perception rates. However, the type of water resource has a negative influence on immigrants housing perception rates. 2. Fertilization type factor analysis showed that the local immigration life highly dependent on agricultural production. Rregional traffic status changes in expectations are the main factors that lead to immigrant housing perception differentiation. 3. Highest level of education factor analysis showed that immigrant housing perception increased with increased level of education. 4. Type of water resource factor analysis showed that the worse the migration of water sources and the cost of the expected, the worse the perception of housing. 5. Household income factor analysis showed that the higher the household income, the better the future expectations of immigrants and the higher the housing perception. Economic development is the fundamental way of solving the immigration problem.

Key words: Orderly Logistic Regression, Reservoir Immigrants, Housing Perceptions

中图分类号:

C931

刘钢, 宋亚倩, 樊力硕, 汪志强. 基于有序Logistic回归的水库移民住房感知实证研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2017, 26(04): 519-529.

LIU Gang, SONG Ya-qian, FAN Li-shuo, WANG Zhi-qiang. EMPIRICAL RESEARCH OF HOUSING PERCEPTIONS OF RESERVOIR IMMIGRANT BASED ON ORDERLY LOGISTIC REGRESSION[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2017, 26(04): 519-529.

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