长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (3): 494-506.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202503003

• 区域可持续发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

长江经济带碳排放-技术创新-绿色发展时空耦合协调研究

王向前,赵胜男*   

  1. (安徽理工大学经济与管理学院,安徽 淮南 232001)
  • 出版日期:2025-03-20 发布日期:2025-03-20

Spatial-temporal Coupling and Coordination of Carbon Emission-Technological Innovation-Green Development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

WANG Xiang-qian,ZHAO Sheng-nan   

  1. (Anhui科学技术大学,经济与管理学院,Huainan 232001,中国)
  • Online:2025-03-20 Published:2025-03-20

摘要: 为探究长江经济带碳排放、技术创新及绿色发展的协调关系,以长江经济带9省2市为研究对象,通过构建碳排放-技术创新-绿色发展三维系统指标体系,运用耦合协调模型、空间自相关模型、障碍度模型及面板Tobit模型,探究2012~2021年长江经济带碳排放-技术创新-绿色发展的耦合协调关系、时空分异特征及影响因子。结果表明:研究期内长江经济带各省市碳排放-技术创新-绿色发展耦合协调度呈逐年递增趋势,但存在时间上发展不同步,空间上发展不均衡的特点;在空间上存在显著正相关性且空间分异特征明显;制约长江经济带耦合协调发展的主要障碍因子有7项,不同年份间存在差异;碳排放水平、能源消耗强度、能源消费结构对系统耦合协调度存在负向影响,经济发展水平、技术创新水平对系统耦合协调度存在正向影响。最后在推动三者协同发展,及制定差异化发展策略等方面提出建议。

Abstract: In order to investigate the coordinating relationships between carbon emissions, technological innovation and green development in the Yangtze River Economic Region, 9 provinces and 2 cities were selected as the study subjects. A three-dimensional index system of carbon emissions, technological innovation and green development was constructed. The coupling coordination model, spatial autocorrelation model, obstacle model and panel Tobit model were used to investigate the coupling coordination relationship and the temporal and spatial differentiation characteristics for the period of 2012-2021. The results showed that the degree of connectivity and coordination between the provinces and municipalities in terms of carbon emissions, technological innovation and green development increased constantly during the study period. However, there existed the characteristics of asynchronous development in time and uneven development in space. There existed a significant positive correlation in space and the characteristics of spatial differentiation. There were seven major obstacles limiting the interconnected and coordinated development of the study area. The level of carbon emission, energy consumption intensity, energy consumption structure on the coupling coordination degree had a negative impact, while the level of economic development, the level of technological innovation demonstrated a positive impact. Finally, suggestions were put forward to promote the synergistic and differentiated development strategies.

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