长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (3): 558-572.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202503008

• 自然资源 • 上一篇    下一篇

西藏自治区国土空间格局演变特征及驱动力分析

魏伟1,2,3,益西才措1,尹力1,薄立明2*   

  1. (1.武汉大学城市设计学院,湖北 武汉 430072; 2.武汉大学中国发展战略与规划研究院,湖北 武汉 430072;3.湖北省人居环境工程技术研究中心,湖北 武汉 430072)
  • 出版日期:2025-03-20 发布日期:2025-03-20

Evolution Characteristics and Driving Forces of Territorial Space Pattern in the Xizang Autonomous Region

WEI Wei1,2,3, YI Xi-caicuo1, YIN Li1,BO Li-ming2   

  1. (1. School of Urban Design, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072,China; 2. China Institute of Development Strategy and Planning, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072,China; 3. Center of Hubei Human Habitat Engineering and Technology, Wuhan 430072,China)
  • Online:2025-03-20 Published:2025-03-20

摘要: 衔接区域自然环境特征—空间用途管控需求构建西藏自治区国土空间分类体系,采用空间转移矩阵,地形位分析和最优参数地理探测器等方法,从“规模格局—地形梯度”两大维度解析1990~2020年西藏自治区国土空间格局演化特征及驱动机制。结果表明:(1)城镇空间“小规模—大比例”剧烈扩张、农业空间“小规模—小比例”收缩和生态空间内部剧烈的动态转型是近30 a西藏国土空间时空演化的典型特征;城镇空间“大分散、小集中”的格局愈发显著,“一江两河”地区城镇—农业矛盾凸显,地区“畜—耕—林”空间布局正在进行深刻重构,同时由于冰川融化导致西藏涉水生态空间猛烈扩张。(2)西藏国土空间分布和交叉转换的地形梯度差异显著,城镇、农业空间“下谷”、生态空间“上山爬坡”现象明显,第3级是错位城镇发展和耕地保护的重要地形位节点。(3)自然地理、社会经济、政策工程、交通区位4类因子共同制约西藏国土空间演化结果,各类型因素在不同转换方向上的作用强度和显著因子数量有明显差异。基于研究提出:疏解城镇—农业空间资源矛盾,注意生态服务价值的提升及生态修复工程的持续有效性,科学引导国土空间顺应地形梯度布局,将对西藏自治区国土空间格局优化起到积极影响。

Abstract: This study employed land transfer matrices, topographic analysis, and optimal parameter geographic detectors to investigate the evolution characteristics and driving mechanisms of territorial spaces in Xizang from 2000 to 2020. Key findings included: (1) The spatiotemporal evolution of territorial space in Xizang over the past 30 years was marked by the dramatic expansion of urban space from a ‘small scale’to a ‘large proportion,’ the contraction of agricultural space from a ‘small scale’ to a ‘small proportion,’ and significant dynamic transformations within ecological space. The pattern of urban space showed a notable trend of ‘large dispersion and small concentration,’ and the urban-agricultural contradiction in the Three-Rivers Region was highlighted. The spatial layout of livestock-farming-forest was undergoing profound restructuring; Simultaneously, the melting of glaciers led to the violent expansion of Xizang′s water-related ecological space. (2) The spatial distribution and cross-conversion of terrain gradients in Xizang were significantly different. Notably, urban and agricultural space tended to concentrate in lower valley regions, while ecological space tended to ascend in uphill. The third level served as a crucial topographic node influencing urban development and cultivated land protection. (3) Four types of factors, including physical geography, social economy, policy engineering, and transportation location, jointly restricted the spatial evolution of land in Xizang. There were obvious differences in the intensity of each type of factor and the number of significant factors in different transformation directions. Based on this research, it was recommended that the conflicts between urban and agricultural spatial resources be addressed, the enhancement of ecological services′ value be prioritized, and the sustained effectiveness of ecological restoration projects be ensured. Scientific guidance should be provided to align territorial space with topographic gradient layouts. Additionally, planning the overall regional layout of the ‘three regions and three lines’ would positively impact the optimization of territorial spatial patterns in Xizang.

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