长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (07): 1399-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202507001

• 区域可持续发展 •    下一篇

长江经济带生态环境与经济高质量发展耦合协调及交互影响研究

李敏,崔晓阳,庞贵芳,冀昊*   

  1. (西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西 杨凌 712100)
  • 出版日期:2025-07-20 发布日期:2025-07-23

Coupling Coordination and Interactive Influence of Ecological Environment and High-Quality Economic Development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

LI Min, CUI Xiao-yang, PANG Gui-fang, JI Hao   

  1. (Northwest A&F University College of Economics and Management, Yangling 712100, China)
  • Online:2025-07-20 Published:2025-07-23

摘要: 协调推进长江经济带生态环境高水平保护与区域经济高质量发展对于我国全面建成社会主义现代化强国具有重要意义。以我国长江经济带11个省市为研究区域,构建综合指标评价体系,利用耦合协调测度模型、灰色关联模型、PVAR模型等方法测度并分析长江经济带2012~2022年生态环境和经济高质量发展的耦合协调度和互动关系。结果表明:(1)长江经济带生态环境与经济高质量发展二者协调发展水平历经“中度失调—基本协调—中度协调”的阶段性演变,整体上呈“长江下游>长江中游>长江上游”的空间分异格局。(2)至2022年,仅上海、浙江和江苏三省市实现了中度协调状态,其余省市均处于基本协调状态。(3)长江经济带各区域子系统与两系统耦合协调度的关联程度较为均衡,各子系统指标的关联度普遍超过0.8,显示出较强的关联关系。(4)从互动关系来看,长江经济带初期生态环境受冲击显著但随时间恢复稳定,经济对生态环境的短期负面影响也逐渐减弱。据此,应通过因地施策、完善环境规制、强化区域内部合作等措施进一步提升长江经济带生态环境与经济的协调发展,实现区域发展的可持续性。

Abstract: The achievement of harmonious advancement in high-standard ecological conservation and high-quality economic development within the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) is of paramount significance for the comprehensive construction of a modern socialist strong country in China. This study concentrated on the 11 provinces and cities within China’s Yangtze River Economic Belt. A comprehensive index evaluation system was constructed. By employing the coupling coordination measurement model, grey relational model, and Panel Vector Autoregression (PVAR) model, this study measured and analyzed the coupling coordination degree and interactive relationship between the ecological environment and high-quality economic development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2012 to 2022. The results indicated that: (1) the coordinated development level between the ecological environment and high-quality economic development in the YREB had undergone a phased evolution from "moderate maladjustment-basic coordination-moderate coordination," exhibiting an overall spatial differentiation pattern of "lower reaches of the Yangtze River > middle reaches of the Yangtze River > upper reaches of the Yangtze River." (1) By the year 2022, only Shanghai, Zhejiang, and Jiangsu had achieved a moderate coordination, while the remaining provinces and cities were all in a state of basic coordination. (3) The correlation between regional subsystems within the YREB and the coupling coordination degree of the two systems showed a relatively balanced degree of association, with the correlation degree of each subsystem indicator generally exceeding 0.8, indicating a robust interactive relationship. (4) In the early development stage of the YREB, the ecological environment was significantly impacted, but subsequently recovered and stabilized over time. The short-term negative impact of the economy on the ecological environment gradually diminished. Accordingly, it was essential to implement measures such as targeted policies, environmental regulation improvements, and enhanced intra-regional cooperation to further promote the coordinated development of the ecological environment and economy in the YREB, to achieve the sustainability of regional development.

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