长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (07): 1426-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202507003

• 区域可持续发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

长三角城市空间联系网络时空特征及影响因素——基于修正引力模型#br#

翟梦新1,陆玉麒1,2*,魏璐瑶1,2   

  1. (1.南京师范大学地理科学学院,江苏 南京 210023; 2.江苏省地理信息资源开发与利用协同创新中心,江苏 南京 210023)
  • 出版日期:2025-07-20 发布日期:2025-07-23

Evolution of Spatial Association Network of Cities in Yangtze River Delta and Influencing Factors——Based on Modified Gravity Model

ZHAI Meng-xin1, LU Yu-qi1,2, WEI Lu-yao1,2#br#   


  1. (1. College of Geography Science, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, China; 2. Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application, Nanjing 210023, China)
  • Online:2025-07-20 Published:2025-07-23

摘要:  了解城市关联及其演化特征对区域协同具有重要意义。利用修正引力模型构建2015、2019与2022年长三角地区城市关联网络,采用社会网络分析法,遵循“流量-流向-点特征-社群结构”的逻辑架构探究其时空特征,最后利用QAP方法识别网络关联的影响因素。结果表明:(1)网络强度格局从“一大三小”转变为“多点开花”;首位联系较弱,空间上形成多中心相对封闭地域系统。(2)城市中心度由极化格局逐渐向均衡演变。(3)2015~2019年,“之”字形核心地区承担着地区唯一的辐射带动功能,“经纪人”角色的城市较多;2019~2022年,“经纪人”板块消失,浙江大部显示出辐射带动效果。(4)地理邻近对关联网络呈现稳定正向影响,市场规模与科创水平差异在近年逐渐呈现正向溢出;经济差异稳定呈现负向效果,信息基建水平差异近年逐渐呈负向显著;行政关系的影响不再明显;其余因素影响效应不稳定。 

Abstract: Identifying the evolution of spatial structure is of great significance in promoting regional high-quality development and synergistic development. Based on the perspective of "relationship", we investigated the evolution of the network structure of urban links in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region from 2015 to 2022 in terms of "flow-direction-flow-point characteristics-community structure". The influencing factors were explored using the modified gravitational model and the method of social network analysis. The results showed that: ①The pattern of the strength of urban spatial links had changed from "one big, three small" to "multiple blossoms"; The first link in the region formed a spatially multi-centered and relatively closed territorial system, and the direction of the first link did not have a clear trend of concentration. ② From the perspective of the overall characteristics of the YRD region, the spatial connection between cities had increased. The spatial structure was solid, and the two-way interaction was strong; From the perspective of the individual characteristics, the degree of urban centrality had changed from unbalanced to balanced, and the network had gradually flattened. ③In 2015-2019, the core area undertook the radiation-driven function in the region, and there were more cities in the role of "brokers";  In 2019-2022, the "broker" segment disappeared, and the former core region changed to a "two-way spillover" role. ④Geographic proximity had a stable positive effect on the association network, and the level of market environment and scientific and technological innovation had also shown a positive spillover in recent years; The level of economy showed a stable negative significant effect, and the level of information infrastructure showed a negative significant effect in recent years; The administrative relationship was no longer obvious, which indicated that cities were breaking down the boundaries of the provinces to create associations.

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