长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (08): 1867-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202508018

• 农业发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

长江经济带农产品供应链韧性区域差异、时空演进及障碍因子

王缙1 ,宾厚2*   

  1. (1.湘潭理工学院数智管理学院,湖南 湘潭 411100;2.湖南工业大学经济与管理学院,湖南 株洲 412008 )
  • 出版日期:2025-08-20 发布日期:2025-09-01

Regional Differences, Spatial-temporal Evolution and Obstacle Factors of Agricultural Products Supply Chain Resilience in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

WANG Jin1 , BIN Hou2   

  1. (1.School of Oigitai and Intelligent Management Xiangtan Institute of Technology,Xiangtan 411100, China ;
    2.School of Economics and Management Hunan University of Technology,Zhuzhou 412008, China)
  • Online:2025-08-20 Published:2025-09-01

摘要: 研究长江经济带农产品供应链韧性,有利于优化长江经济带区域产业布局,对实现“中国式现代化”,构建区域农产品供应链发展新格局意义重大。结合中国式现代化5个特征,构建长江经济带农产品供应链韧性水平综合评价指标体系,借助熵值法、Dagum基尼系数、马尔科夫链法、核密度估计以及障碍度模型,探究2012~2022年长江经济带农产品供应链韧性的区域差异、时空演进及障碍因子。主要结论如下:(1)长江经济带农产品供应链韧性水平在研究期内呈现持续增长态势,各省市农产品供应链韧性水平显著差异呈现缩小趋势,各区域农产品供应链韧性水平呈现出明显的区域非均衡性格局。(2)总体差异主要源于区域间差异,且区域间差异贡献率总体呈下降趋势。(3)各省市农产品供应链韧性水平具有较强稳定性,且高水平省市辐射效应显著。(4)区域发展出现严重不均衡及两极分化现象,且逐渐得到控制并向好发展。(5)地方财政支持、地方R&D人员全时当量、农产品进出口占比是影响长江经济带农产品供应链韧性水平主要障碍;地方R&D人员全时当量、农产品进出口占比、农产品固定资产投资强度分别在上游、中游、下游省市障碍因子中平均比重最高。

Abstract: Study on the resilience of the agricultural products supply chain in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) is conducive to the optimization of the regional industrial layout. It is also of great significance to realize "Chinese modernization" and to build a new pattern of regional agricultural products supply chain development. Combined with the five characteristics of Chinese modernization, this study constructed a comprehensive evaluation index system for the resilience level of agricultural products supply chain in the YREB. The regional differences, temporal and spatial evolution and obstacle factors of the resilience were explored, for 2012-2022. The entropy method, Dagum Gini coefficient, Markov chain method, kernel density estimation and obstacle degree model were used. The main conclusions were as follows: (1) The resilience level showed a sustained growth trend for the studied period, with significant differences showing a decreasing trend in resilience levels among provinces and cities. The resilience level in various regions showed an obvious regional imbalance pattern. (2) The overall differences were mainly due to regional differences, and the contribution rate of regional differences was generally decreasing. (3) The resilience level in various provinces and cities demonstrated a strong stability, and the radiation effect of high-level provinces and cities was significant. (4) There was a severe imbalance and polarization in the regional development. (5) Local financial support, full-time equivalent of local R&D personnel and the proportion of agricultural product imports and exports were found to be the  the main obstacles that affected the resilience level. The full-time equivalent of local R&D personnel, the proportion of agricultural products import and export and the intensity of the fixed assets investment of agricultural products were the highest proportion among the barrier factors of upstream, midstream and downstream provinces and cities, respectively.

No related articles found!
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
No Suggested Reading articles found!