长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (10): 2288-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202510012

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

长江经济带暖季夜间臭氧浓度时空特征及健康风险

王彦闻1,涂佩玥2* ,杨欢2,张鹏举3,何超4,5   

  1. (1. 中国地质大学(武汉)经济管理学院,湖北 武汉 430074; 2. 武汉大学资源与环境科学学院,湖北 武汉 430072;3. 甘肃省疏勒河流域水资源流域中心,甘肃 玉门 735211;4. 中国科学院武汉文献情报中心,湖北 武汉 430071;5. 碳排放权交易湖北省协同创新中心,湖北 武汉 430205)
  • 出版日期:2025-10-20 发布日期:2025-10-23

Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of Nighttime Ozone Concentration and Health Risks during Warm Seasons in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

WANG Yan-wen1,TU Pei-yue2,YANG Huan2,ZHANG Peng-ju3,HE Chao4,5   

  1. (1.School of Economics and Management,China University of Geosciences,Wuhan 430078,China;2.School of Resources and Environmental Sciences,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430071,China;3.Water Resources Utilization Centre of Shule River Basin,Yumen 735211,China;4.Wuhan Documentation and Information Center,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Wuhan 430071,China;5.Collaborative Innovation Center for Emissions Trading System Co-constructed by the Province and Ministry,Wuhan 430205,China)
  • Online:2025-10-20 Published:2025-10-23

摘要: 臭氧污染防治是我国“十四五”时期重点开展污染防治行动之一。研究选取近地表暖季夜间O3监测等数据,探索了长江经济带及长三角城市群、长江中游城市群和成渝城市群2015~2022年近地表夜间O3浓度时空变化特征,并利用暴露-反应模型评估了2015~2021年归因于夜间O3暴露的健康风险。研究表明:(1)2015~2022年长江经济带暖季夜间O3浓度整体呈波动上升趋势,上升速率为0.81 μg簚(m3簚a)-1。其中,长三角城市群夜间O3年均浓度增幅最大(17.6%),成渝城市群和长江中游城市群增幅相近,分别为8.3%和7.8%。(2)长江经济带夜间O3浓度存在明显的东北高西南低的空间格局,处于夜间O3浓度高值区域的城市由2015年的33个上升至2022年的44个。(3)2015~2021年长江经济带归因于夜间O3暴露的早逝人数在2018年达到峰值后降低,2021年归因于夜间O3暴露的全因死亡早逝人数较2015年下降了5%。其中,长三角城市群归因于夜间O3暴露的早逝人数最多,其次为长江中游城市群,成渝城市群夜间O3暴露早逝人数最少。3个城市群归因于夜间O3暴露的早逝人数均呈现下降趋势。研究结果可为长江经济带未来臭氧污染防治相关政策的制定及公众健康保护提供重要参考。

Abstract: Controlling ozone pollution is a crucial component of the pollution prevention initiatives outlined in China's 14th Five-Year Plan. This study utilized monitoring data (2015 to 2022) of near-surface nighttime O3during the warm seasons, and explored the spatial-temporal variations of the O3 concentrations across the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB), with a particular focus on the areas of the Yangtze River Delta, the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, and the Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomerations. Furthermore, the exposure-response model was applied to evaluate the health risks associated with nighttime O3 exposure from 2015 to 2021. The results showed that: (1) The concentration of nighttime O3 during the warm seasons in the YREB exhibited a fluctuating upward trend, with an annual increasing rate of 0.81 μg簚(m3簚a)-1. Notably, the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration experienced the most significant annual increase in nighttime O3 concentration, at a rate of 17.6%. In contrast, the Chengdu-Chongqing and middle reaches of the Yangtze River urban agglomerations demonstrated more modest growth rates, with an increase of 8.3% and 7.8%, respectively. (2) The spatial distribution of nighttime O3 concentration in the YREB revealed a distinct pattern, with elevated levels observed in the northeast and reduced levels in the southwest. Additionally, the number of cities experiencing high nighttime O3 concentrations increased from 33 in 2015 to 44 in 2022. (3) The number of premature deaths that was attributed to nighttime O3 exposure peaked in 2018, and the number subsequently declined, and then experienced a rebound in 2021. By 2021, the mortality rate due to nighttime O3 exposure had decreased by 5% compared to that in 2015. Among the three urban agglomerations, the Yangtze River Delta exhibited the highest number of premature deaths from nighttime O3 exposure, followed by the Yangtze River Midstream city cluster, of which the Chengdu-Chongqing city cluster demonstrated the fewest. Deaths attributed to nighttime O3 exposure in the three urban agglomerations showed a downward trend. This study provided important references for future ozone pollution prevention and control, which was related to policy formulation and public health protection in the Yangtze River Economic Zone.

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