长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (10): 2366-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202510018

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    

金沙江中下游雨季的气候特征及大气环流演变分析

高雅琦1,肖莺1*,李琳琳2   

  1. (1 湖北省气候中心,  湖北 武汉 430074;2 三峡梯级调度通信中心,  湖北 宜昌 443000)
  • 出版日期:2025-10-20 发布日期:2025-10-23

Climatic Characteristics and Atmospheric Circulation of Rainy Seasons in the Middle-to-lower Reaches of the Jinsha River

GAO Ya-qi1 ,XIAO Ying1,LI Lin-lin2   

  1. (1.Hubei Province Climate Center, Wuhan 430074,China;2. Three Gorges Cascade Dispatch & Communication Center, Yichang 443000, China)
  • Online:2025-10-20 Published:2025-10-23

摘要: 金沙江流域的雨季特征对区域水资源的开发、暴雨洪涝及干旱灾害等防备具有重要意义。基于金沙江中下游1961~2023年逐日降水资料,利用雨季气象标准确定流域雨季开始日期、结束日期、雨季长度和雨季降水量等雨季特征量,对特征量的时空特征、长期变化趋势以及雨季转折时期的大气环流特征分析。结果表明:流域雨季开始是从流域东北向西推进,而雨季结束时间较为一致,雨季长度东长西短,流域雨季降水量中部高于东西两侧。随着南亚高压北抬,孟加拉湾西南暖湿水汽输送加强,配合西路的冷空气活动,流域雨季开始。当孟加拉湾由西南风转为东风,西南暖湿气流减弱,流域上空西风加强,流域雨季结束。流域整体而言,雨季开始的平均日期为5月25日,结束的平均日期为10月23日,雨季平均持续152 d, 雨季雨量平均为785.2 mm。流域雨季特征量的长期趋势变化不明显,但年代际波动特征明显,21世纪后雨季开始日期推迟,雨季长度缩短,雨季降水量减少。

Abstract: Understanding the characteristics of rainy seasons in the Jinsha River was significant for the development of regional water resources, as well as for the prevention and mitigation of flood and drought disasters. Based on daily precipitation data from 1961 to 2023 in the middle-to-lower reaches of the Jinsha River, the onset date, termination date, length, and total precipitation of the rainy seasons were defined, using the established criteria. The spatiotemporal characteristics, changing trends, and atmospheric circulation features during transitional periods were also analyzed. The results showed that, the onset of the rainy seasons had progressed from the northeast towards the west, while the end of the rainy seasons was relatively uniform across the region. The duration of the rainy seasons was longer in the eastern part, compared to the western. The total rainfall during the rainy seasons was higher in the central area than on either side. The onset of the rainy seasons was associated with the northward shift of the South Asian High, coupled with enhanced warm and moist vapor transport from the Bay of Bengal with cold air activity from the west. Conversely, when the wind direction over the Bay of Bengal shifted from southwest to easterly, weakened the warm and moist vapor transport, and westerly winds strengthened over the basin, the rainy seasons came to an end. Climatologically, the rainy seasons lasted for 152 days from May 25th to October 23rd. The average total amount of precipitation during the rainy seasons was 785.2 mm. There were no significant long-term trends in the characteristics of the rainy seasons, however, inter-decadal fluctuations were evident. After the 21st century, there was a delay in the onset date of the rainy seasons. It was also found that the length of the rainy seasons was shortened, and the total precipitation was reduced.

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