长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (12): 2647-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202512003

• 区域可持续发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

区域天然气产业碳排放及低碳经济效率时空分异研究——以京津冀、长三角和川渝为例

李乔楚1,罗平亚2   

  1. (1.西南石油大学经济管理学院,四川 成都 610500;2.西南石油大学油气藏地质及开发工程全国重点实验室,四川 成都 610500)
  • 出版日期:2025-12-20 发布日期:2025-12-25

Spatial-temporal Differentiation of Carbon Emissions and Low-carbon Economic Efficiency of Regional Natural Gas Industry: Taking Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta and Sichuan-Chongqing as Examples

LI Qiao-chu1, LUO Ping-ya2   

  1. (1.School of Economics and Management, Southwest Petroleum University, Chengdu 610500, China;
    2.State Key Laboratory of Oil and Gas Reservoir Geology and Exploitation, Southwest Petroleum University, Chengdu 610500, China)
  • Online:2025-12-20 Published:2025-12-25

摘要:  天然气产业低碳发展是中国“双碳”目标实现的必由之路。基于燃料燃烧和系统溢散两大单元构建天然气产业碳排放计算体系,引入物料守恒原则建立改进的Super-SBM-Undesirable模型。基于此,结合京津冀、长三角和川渝地区2010~2022年的面板数据,实证评估产业碳排放及低碳经济效率的时空分异。研究表明:(1)三大集群天然气产业碳排放呈波动上升趋势,这源于“双碳”目标下天然气规模化发展同步带动产业碳贡献增大。燃料燃烧碳排放占据主导,其中京津冀地区由于冬季集中供暖需求故加工转换碳贡献较大。系统溢散碳贡献较小,但由于上游产业链聚集特性川渝地区勘探开采和加工处理环节存在部分溢散排放。(2)川渝地区资源禀赋优势造就天然气产业高质量发展优势,故低碳经济效率最优。北京和天津的政治定位保障了区域能源供给,但天然气自给水平较低,此外河北产业承接面临“污染避难所”难题,从而导致京津冀地区效率数值次之。长三角地区效率数值呈显著的区域异质性,这主要由于江苏、浙江和上海近年来充分发挥区域协调发展和智能化转型优势,大力拓宽产业新兴增长点,而安徽天然气产业基础较为薄弱。

Abstract: Low-carbon development of natural gas industry is an important way for China to achieve the goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality.Based on the two units of fuel combustion and system diffusion, the calculation system of carbon emissions of natural gas industry was constructed in this study.By introducing the principle of material conservation, the improved Super-SBM-Undesirable model was established.Combined with the panel data of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta and Sichuan-Chongqing regions from 2010 to 2022, the spatial-temporal differentiation of industrial carbon emissions and low-carbon economic efficiency was empirically investigated.The results showed that: (1) the carbon emissions of natural gas industry in the three clusters showed a fluctuating upward trend, which was due to the increase of industrial carbon contribution driven by the large-scale development of natural gas under the goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality.The carbon emission of fuel combustion was dominant.The carbon contribution of energy processing and conversion in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region was large, due to the demand for central heating in winter.The carbon contribution of system diffusion was small.However, due to the aggregation characteristics of the upstream industrial chain, some diffusion emissions occurred in the exploration, mining, processing, and treatment stages.(2) The resource endowment advantage in Sichuan-Chongqing region leaded to the high-quality development of natural gas industry, resulting the highest efficiency of low-carbon economic.The political orientation of Beijing and Tianjin ensured the regional energy supply, but their self-sufficiency in natural gas was low.In addition, Hebei was facing the problem of air pollution in the process of industrial undertaking.Therefore, the efficiency of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region was lower than that of Sichuan-Chongqing region.The efficiency in the Yangtze River Delta region showed a significant regional difference.This was mainly due to the fact that in recent years, Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai had taken the full advantages of regional coordinated development and intelligent transformation, and had vigorously expanded the emerging growth points of natural gas industry.However, the development foundation of Anhui's natural gas industry was relatively weak.

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