长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (12): 2697-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202512007

• 自然资源 • 上一篇    下一篇

共同富裕目标下长江经济带旅游业高质量发展时空演变及影响因素

惠余杰1,2 ,李会琴1*,王潇冰1,候玉洁1   

  1. (1.中国地质大学(武汉) 经济管理学院,湖北 武汉 430078;2.云南农业大学理学院,云南 昆明 650201)
  • 出版日期:2025-12-20 发布日期:2025-12-25

Spatial-temporal Evolution and Influencing Factor of High-Quality Tourism Development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt under the Goal of Common Prosperity

HUI Yu-jie1,LI Hui-qin2,WANG Xiao-bing2,HOU Yu-jie2   

  1. (1.School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan),Wuhan 430078,China;2.School of Science, Yunnan Agricultural University, Kunming 650201,China)
  • Online:2025-12-20 Published:2025-12-25

摘要:  基于2012~2022年长江经济带124个地级及以上城市数据,构建共同富裕目标下的旅游业高质量发展水平综合测度指标体系,采用熵值-TOPSIS法、探索性空间数据分析方法及Dagum基尼系数,从时间和空间视角探讨长江经济带旅游业高质量发展水平的基本特征、演变趋势和区域差异,并进一步利用地理收敛性交叉映射模型(GCCM)分析旅游业高质量发展系统中各变量的因果关系。研究发现:(1)研究期内长江经济带旅游业高质量发展处于中低水平,但保持稳定增长趋势。其中生态保护和协调发展水平较高,其他维度水平较低;(2)在空间上呈自东向西递减的分布特征,整体呈现“东热西冷”的空间分布态势;(3)长江经济带旅游业高质量发展水平空间差异在逐渐缩小,区域间差异是空间差异的主要来源;(4)政府干预、金融服务、基础设施、消费和人口与旅游业高质量发展水平存在因果关系,但因果方向呈现异质性。

Abstract: Based on data from 124 prefecture-level and above cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2012 to 2022, this study constructed a comprehensive evaluation index system for high-quality tourism development under the common prosperity goals.Utilizing the entropy-TOPSIS method, exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA), and Dagum Gini coefficient, we systematically investigated the spatiotemporal characteristics, evolutionary trends, and regional disparities of tourism high-quality development.Furthermore, the geographical convergent cross-mapping (GCCM) model was employed to analyze causal relationships among variables within the tourism development system.Key findings included: ① The high-quality tourism development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt maintained medium-low levels with a steady growth during the study period, where ecological conservation and coordinated development demonstrated relatively strong performance while other dimensions lagged; ② A distinct east-west gradient pattern emerged, characterized by an “east-hot-west-cold” spatial distribution; ③ Spatial disparities gradually narrowed, with interregional differences constituting the primary source (>60%) of overall variation; ④ Government intervention, financial services, infrastructure, consumption, and population exhibited causal relationships with tourism development quality, though the direction of causality showed significant heterogeneity across dimensions.

No related articles found!
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
[1] 张鑫, 陈志刚. 经济增长激励、官员异质性与城市工业污染:以长三角地区为例[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2018, 27(07): 1314 .
[2] 郭政, 董平, 陆玉麒, 黄群芳, 马颖忆. 长三角集装箱港口体系演化及影响因素分析[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2018, 27(07): 1340 .
[3] 蓝希, 刘小琼, 郭炎, 陈昆仑. “长江经济带”战略背景下武汉城市水环境承载力综合评价[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2018, 27(07): 1345 .
[4] 罗能生, 王玉泽.彭郁, 李建明. 长江中游城市群生态效率的空间关系及其协同提升机制研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2018, 27(07): 1349 .
[5] 刘钢, 刘坤琳, 汪玮茜, 赵爽. 水质感知视角下水库移民满意度分析——基于有序逻辑回归的实证研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2018, 27(07): 1355 .
[6] 戢晓峰, 刘丁硕. 基于3D理论与SEM的县域交通可达性与空间贫困的耦合机制[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2018, 27(07): 1360 .
[7] 张大鹏, 曹卫东, 姚兆钊, 岳洋, 任亚文. 上海大都市区物流企业区位分布特征及其演化[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2018, 27(07): 1365 .
[8] 佘颖, 刘耀彬. 国内外绿色发展制度演化的历史脉络及启示[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2018, 27(07): 1370 .
[9] 侯雯嘉, 陈长青, 乔辉, 孙新素, 周曙东. 1980~2009年长江下游地区油菜冻害时空特征研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2018, 27(07): 1375 .
[10] 姚琳, 沈竞, 温新龙, 高超. WRF模式参数化方案对江西山地风电场的风模拟研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2018, 27(07): 1380 .