长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (12): 2740-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202512010

• 自然资源 • 上一篇    下一篇

江西省水资源承载力时空异质性分析

王欢1,2,韦丽3 ,崔巍1   

  1. (1.南京水利科学研究院,江苏 南京 210029; 2.水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏 南京 210029; 3.江西省水文监测中心,江西 南昌 330038)
  • 出版日期:2025-12-20 发布日期:2025-12-25

Spatiotemporal Heterogeneity of Water Resource Carrying Capacity in Jiangxi Province

WANG Huan 1,2, WEI Li3, CUI Wei1   

  1. (1.Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China;2.The National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Nanjing 210029, China;3.Jiang Xi Shui Wen, Nancang 330038, China)
  • Online:2025-12-20 Published:2025-12-25

摘要:  探讨江西省及其11个城市用水总量、用水结构和用水效率的时空演变规律,以及水资源承载力的时空演变异质性,为区域水资源管理和可持续利用提供科学依据。基于水资源量、产业用水量、经济社会、生态补水等数据,采用泰尔系数分析水资源开发利用地区分布差异,信息熵均衡度分析用水结构的合理性,熵权TOPSIS模型评价水资源承载力。分析结果表明:各城市用水总量占全省的比重在时间分布上较为稳定,但近年来因城市之间工业发展水平差异,工业用水量和生态环境用水量在城市间的差异增大。江西省各城市农业用水占主导,工业用水量占比在逐年降低,生态用水占比在大幅上升,各城市用水结构总体上差异大,南昌市和萍乡市用水结构最优。江西省水资源承载力北部优于南部,省会南昌市优于邻近城市,南昌市和新余市水资源承载力最优;宜春市和上饶市水资源子系统承载力排名前列,南昌市和新余市社会子系统表现最好,南昌市和景德镇市生态子系统承载力平均值最高。

Abstract: This study explored the spatiotemporal evolution patterns of total water consumption, water use structure, and water use efficiency in Jiangxi Province and its 11 cities.The spatiotemporal heterogeneity of water resource carrying capacity was studied to provide a scientific basis for regional water resource management and sustainable utilization.The data of water resources, industrial water use, socioeconomic factors, and ecological replenishment were collected.The Theil coefficient was used to analyze regional distribution differences in water resource development and utilization.The information entropy was used to assess the rationality of water use structure, and the entropy-weighted TOPSIS model was used to evaluate water resource carrying capacity.The results indicated that the proportion of total water consumption by each city remained relatively stable over time.However, in recent years, due to differences in industrial development levels among the cities, the disparities in industrial water use and ecological water use had increased.Agricultural water use dominated in all cities of Jiangxi Province, while the proportion of industrial water use was gradually decreasing, and the proportion of ecological water use was significantly increasing.Overall, there were considerable differences in water use structures among the cities, e.g.Nanchang and Pingxiang cities demonstrated the most optimal water use structures.The water resource carrying capacity in the northern part of Jiangxi Province was better than that in the southern part.The provincial capital Nanchang city outperformed the neighboring cities.Nanchang and Xinyu had the highest water resource carrying capacity.Yichun and Shangrao were ranked high in terms of water resource subsystem carrying capacity, and Nanchang and Xinyu had the best performance in social subsystem, and Nanchang and Jingdezhen cities had the highest carrying capacity in ecological subsystem.

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