长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (12): 2829-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202512017

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

长江上游NDVI变化及其对三峡水库入库水沙过程的影响

李明月1,2,潘红忠1,2*,陈鹏1,2,马一鸣3,姚华明1,2,3   

  1. (1.长江大学油气地球化学与环境湖北省重点实验室,湖北 武汉 430100;
    2.长江大学资源与环境学院,湖北 武汉 430100; 3.中国长江电力股份有限公司,湖北 宜昌 443000)
  • 出版日期:2025-12-20 发布日期:2025-12-25

Changes of NDVI in the Upper Yangtze River and Influence on Water-sand Process in the Three Gorges Reservoir

LI Ming-yue1,2, PAN Hong-zhong1,2, CHEN Peng1,2, MA Yi-ming3, YAO Hua-ming1,2,3   

  1. (1.Hubei Provincial Key Laboratory of Oil and Gas Geochemistry and Environment, Yangtze University, Wuhan 430100, China; 2.College of Resources and Environment, Yangtze University,Wuhan 430100, China; 3.China Yangtze Power Co., Lt, Yichang 430100 )
  • Online:2025-12-20 Published:2025-12-25

摘要: 长江上游地区的植被覆盖度对该地区的生态平衡至关重要,同时也会对三峡水库的入库径流和泥沙输送过程产生影响。基于长江上游250 m分辨率的归一化植被指数数据(MOD13Q1 NDVI)、年径流量、输沙量、土地利用、气象等数据,利用Sen+Mann-Kendall趋势分析、偏相关分析等方法,分析了长江上游各子流域(金沙江流域,岷沱江流域,嘉陵江流域,三峡库区流域,乌江流域)NDVI的时空变化特征、驱动因素以及对三峡水库入库水沙过程的影响。研究结果显示:(1)2001~2022年长江上游NDVI呈波动上升趋势,整体植被覆盖度不断提高,在空间上呈现西低东高的格局。(2)2006~2022年,长江上游的径流量整体上未出现显著上升趋势,而输沙量显著下降。在此期间,三峡库区流域的年径流量呈显著上升趋势,而金沙江流域的输沙量显著下降。(3)长江上游NDVI影响因子中,受土地利用因子驱动的区域约占整个研究区面积的43%,降水次之,约占34%,且大部分流域NDVI和降水呈正相关关系并有20%的面积通过了p<0.05的显著性检验。(4)降水量显著影响径流量,大部分流域的植被与输沙量呈负相关关系。未来植被变化趋势以改善为主,有助于减少泥沙流失,但部分区域植被恢复对水文循环的影响需进一步研究。

Abstract: The vegetation coverage in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River is crucial for maintaining the ecological balance of the region.The vegetation cover may also significantly impact the inflow and sediment transport processes of the Three Gorges Reservoir.In this study, the methods of Sen+Mann-Kendall trend analysis and partial correlation analysis were used.The data were based on the 250m resolution Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (MOD13Q1 NDVI), annual runoff, sediment load, land use, and meteorological data from the upper reaches of the Yangtze River.This research investigated the spatiotemporal variation characteristics and the driving factors of NDVI in various sub-basins of the upper Yangtze River (including the Jinsha River Basin, Min-Tuo River Basin, Jialing River Basin, Three Gorges Reservoir Area Basin, and Wu River Basin), as well as their impact on the water and sediment inflow processes into the Three Gorges Reservoir.The research findings indicated that: (1) From 2001 to 2022, NDVI exhibited a fluctuating upward trend, with a continuous improvement of vegetation coverage, and a spatial pattern of lower values in the west and higher values in the east.(2) From 2006 to 2022, the runoff did not show a significant upward trend overall, while the sediment load decreased significantly.During this period, the annual runoff in the Three Gorges Reservoir area exhibited a significant upward trend, whereas the sediment load in the Jinsha River Basin decreased notably.(3) The areas driven by land use factors accounted for approximately 43% of the entire study region, followed by precipitation of about 34%.Moreover, NDVI and precipitation exhibited a positive correlation in most basins, with 20% of the area passing the significance test at p < 0.05.(4) Precipitation significantly influenced runoff, and vegetation in most basins showed a negative correlation with sediment load.In the future, vegetation cover should be enhanced, which would help reduce sediment loss.However, the impact of vegetation restoration on the hydrological cycle requires further research.

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