长江流域资源与环境 >> 2023, Vol. 32 >> Issue (10): 2196-2211.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202310017

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

试点政策对城市减污降碳的协同增效研究——基于国家生态文明先行示范区的准自然试验

胡剑波1,张宽元2*   

  1. (1.贵州财经大学经济学院,贵州 贵阳 550025;2.贵州财经大学大数据应用与经济学院,贵州 贵阳 550025)
  • 出版日期:2023-10-20 发布日期:2023-10-26

Study on the Synergy of Pilot Policy on Urban Pollution and Carbon Reduction:A Quasi-natural Experiment Based on the National Ecological Civilization Advance Demonstration Area

HU Jian-bo1,ZHANG Kuan-yuan2   

  1. (1.School of Economics,Guizhou University of Finance and Economics,Guiyang 550025, China;
    2.School of Big Data Application and Economics,Guizhou University of Finance and Economics,Guiyang 550025, China)
  • Online:2023-10-20 Published:2023-10-26

摘要: 减污降碳的协同增效既能衡量环境效益,也能兼顾气候效益与经济效益,势必将成为我国生态文明建设中实现经济社会发展全面绿色转型的必然选择。国家生态文明先行示范区的设立作为新时期生态文明建设的主要平台和重要的政策抓手,研究其减污降碳的协同增效对于破解资源约束趋紧、环境污染严重、生态系统退化等现实困境具有现实意义。基于2006~2019年中国209个地级市数据,运用多期双重差分及扩展的空间形式评估国家生态文明先行示范区试点政策对城市减污降碳的协同增效。研究结果表明:(1)国家生态文明先行示范区试点政策显著促进了城市减污降碳的协同增效,该结论在一系列稳健性检验后依然成立。(2)通过Bacon Decomposition发现“好处理组”占98.33%,模型设定的有效性得到进一步验证。(3)试点政策在空间溢出上表现出“以邻为壑”的特征,对于不同技术水平禀赋、工业集聚规模、环境规制强度城市中存在显著差异。据此,提出推广试点有序扩散、优化政策空间布局、设计梯度发展战略等政策建议。

Abstract: The synergy of pollution and carbon reduction can measure environmental benefits and as well as climateand economic benefits, and will definitely become an inevitable choice to achieve comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development in the procedure of ecological civilization in China. As a major platform and important policy grip for the construction of ecological civilization in the new era, the establishment of national ecological civilization demonstration area is of practical significance to study the synergistic of pollution and carbon reduction to crack the real dilemma of tightening resource constraints, serious environmental pollution and ecosystem degradation. Based on the data from 209 prefecture-level cities in China from 2006 to 2019, a multi-period double difference and extended spatial forms was used to assess the synergistic effect of the pilot policy of national ecological civilization demonstration area on urban pollution and carbon reduction. The results showed that:(1) the pilot policy of national ecological civilization demonstration area significantly promotedthe synergistic of urban pollution and carbon reduction, and this finding is still valid after a series of robustness tests. (2) The Bacon Decomposition found that the "good treatment group" accounted for 98.33%, implying that the validity of the model setting was further verified. (3) The spatial spillover of the pilot policy showed the characteristics of "beggar-thy-neighbor". There existed significant differences among cities with different technology endowment, industrial agglomeration scale, and environmental regulation intensity.Accordingly,this paperproposed to promotethe orderly diffusion of pilot policies, optimizing the spatial layout of policies, and designing a gradient development strategy.

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