长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (11): 2491-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202511009

• 自然资源 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于ROC+FP-Growth算法的金沙江宜宾江段铜鱼繁殖水文需求组合优选研究#br#

刘瀚1,2,朱其广3,林俊强4*, 姜伟1,2,戴凌全1,2,党莹超1,2,张启凡1,2   

  1. (1. 中国长江三峡集团有限公司长江生态环境工程研究中心,湖北 武汉 430010;2. 长江经济带生态环境国家工程研究中心,湖北 武汉 430010;3. 水利部中国科学院水工程生态研究所,湖北 武汉 430079;4. 中国水利水电科学研究院,北京 100038)

  • 出版日期:2025-11-20 发布日期:2025-11-20

Optimal Selection of Hydrological Requirements for Coreius Heterodon Reproduction in the Yibin Reach of the Lower Jinsha River Based on the ROC and FP-Growth Algorithm

LIU Han1,2,ZHU Qi-guang3,LIN Jun-qiang4,JIANG Wei1,2,DAI Ling-quan1,2,DANG Ying-chao1,2,ZHANG Qi-fan1,2   

  1. (1. Engineering Research Center of Eco-Environment,China Three Gorges Corporation,Wuhan 430010,China;2. National Engineering Research Center of Eco-Environment in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, Wuhan 430010,China; 3. Institute of Hydroecology,MWR&CAS,Wuhan 430079,China;4. China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research,Beijing 100038,China)
  • Online:2025-11-20 Published:2025-11-20

摘要:  为探究金沙江下游典型产漂流性卵鱼类需求环境条件,量化并组合适宜鱼类繁殖的环境需求阈值,完善面向鱼类自然繁殖需求的生态调度方案,以向家坝下宜宾断面为例,分析了不同时期铜鱼产卵量的分布规律,提出了一套解释铜鱼逐日产卵规律的单指标判别模型及组合规则优选模型。结果表明,当前的生态调度试验对铜鱼产卵均产生了促进作用,水位、流量、水温、初始水位、水位累积变化量、水位累积变化率、初始流量、流量累积变化量、流量累积变化率和初始水温等10个环境因子与铜鱼日产卵显著相关,水位、初始流量和流量累积变化量构成的组合是判别铜鱼日产卵的最适宜规则项集,以初始流量≥2 455 m3/s,流量累积变化量≥2 053 m3/s的调度条件作为铜鱼日有效繁殖判定标准具备一定参考价值。

Abstract: In order to explore the environmental conditions required by typical drifting-egg fish species in the lower reaches of the Jinsha River,the Coreius heterodon,a key drifting-egg fish species,was selected in this study. The purposes of this study were to quantify and integrate suitable thresholds for fish reproduction,and improve ecological operation plans to support the natural reproduction of fish. The spatial and temporal patterns of daily egg-laying activities under different hydrological and environmental conditions were analyzed. The study employed a single-indicator discrimination model and a combinatory optimization model to elucidate the daily spawning patterns of Coreius heterodon. The results indicated that ongoing ecological operation experiments positively influenced Coreius heterodon spawning,contributing to its reproductive success. A comprehensive analysis of ten key environmental factors,including water level,discharge,water temperature,initial water level,cumulative water level change,cumulative rate of water level change,initial discharge,cumulative discharge change,cumulative rate of discharge change,and initial water temperature,revealed significant correlations with the daily spawning of Coreius heterodon. Among these factors,the combination of water level,initial discharge,and cumulative discharge emerged as the most reliable rule set for determining daily spawning activity. Specifically,the study found that an initial discharge of at least 2 455 m3/s and a cumulative discharge change of at least 2 053 m3/s provided effective criteria for assessing the reproductive activity of Coreius heterodon. These findings offered valuable insights into the hydrodynamic conditions necessary to facilitate fish spawning and contribute to optimizing ecological regulation strategies. By refining ecological operation plans based on these results,river management efforts can more effectively support the natural reproduction of drifting-egg fish species in the Jinsha River,to ensure the sustainability of their populations in the long term.

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