长江流域资源与环境 >> 2018, Vol. 27 >> Issue (05): 1011-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201805008

• 自然资源 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国东部夏季暴雨事件空间形态变化规律初步分析

穆海振   

  1. (上海市气候中心, 上海 200030)
  • 出版日期:2018-05-20

Pattern Analysis on Summer Rainstorm Events of Eastern China

#br# MU Hai-zhen   


  1. (Shanghai Climate Center, Shanghai 200030, China)
  • Online:2018-05-20

摘要: 基于1961~2010年逐日0.25°经纬度网格分辨率的降水再分析资料,将中国东部分为南部、中部和北部3个区域,以暴雨斑块表征空间上相对独立的暴雨事件,利用景观格局分析方法研究了各区域夏季暴雨事件空间形态变化规律。主要结论如下:(1)各区域空间上相对独立的暴雨事件出现频率与其个数呈反向变化,随日暴雨事件面积指数平均值和合计值增加,其出现频率呈幂指数形态下降;(2)中部区域(北部区域)在6月下旬至7月上旬(7月下旬)暴雨事件最多,在夏季前期(夏季后期)中部区域(北部区域)暴雨事件面积指数最大;(3)南部和中部区域从1990s开始进入暴雨覆盖面积偏大时期,其主导因素是暴雨事件频数增多,北部区域在2000s进入暴雨覆盖范围偏小期的主要影响因素是相对独立的暴雨事件覆盖面积变小。所得结论进一步深化了对我国东部暴雨事件演变规律的认识,在洪涝灾害防御和水资源管理工作中具有较好的应用前景,分析方法可供类似研究工作借鉴。
关键词: 暴雨;中国东部; 形态变化; 夏季

Abstract: The paper aims to study on the spatial pattern characteristics of east china summer rainstorm events. The daily precipitation reanalysis data at 0.25×0.25 latitude-longitude grid in 1961-2010 was used, which is based on more than 2 400 weather observation stations in China. The landscape pattern analysis tool (fragstat4.2) was utilized to obtain the rainstorm patches parameters. In the study east China was divided into 3 areas named Southern Area (SA), Central Area (CA) and Northern Area (NA) considering climatic division research results, and the spatial independent rainstorm events characteristics are represented by the rainstorm patch pattern parameter such as patches count, average patches area index, etc., the main conclusions are as follows: 1) there is reverse variation trend between the count of independent rainstorm events and its frequency. With the increase of daily mean and daily sum of rainstorm patch area index, their frequency decrease in exponential form. 2) There are more rainstorm events in the CA (NA) during late June to early July (late July).  In the early summer (late summer) average rainstorm area index in CA (NA) is largest among 3 areas. 3) Since 1990s, SA and CA were more likely affected by rainstorm, which was mainly caused by the frequency increasing of individual rainstorm events. Resulting from the smaller coverage of individual rainstorm events, NA experienced fewer rainstorms in 2000s. The conclusion of this paper deepens the understanding on the rainstorm events variation in eastern China and has a good application prospect in the flood disaster prevention and water resources management. The analysis method also is reference for similar research.
Key words:rainstorm; eastern China; spatial pattern analysis; summer

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