Abstract: It is of great significance to clarify the interaction between industrial structure change and university outputs for promoting the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure and optimizing the development strategy of universities. Firstly, we use the improved cosine method and Theil index to measure the industrial structure change in Hubei Province.Then, on the basis of analyzing the defects and limitations of the existing evaluation indexes and measuring method of university outputs, we introduce a more rational measuring method to evaluate the university outputs. Finally, Grainger causality test, VAR model, Pulse response function and Variance decomposition are adopted to study the interaction between the industrial structure change and the university outputs in Hubei province from 2004 to 2013.The results show that 1) the advancement and rationalization of industrial structure are the Grainger reason for the education advancement. The technical market turnover and the graduates scale are the Grainger reason for the industrial structure rationalization; 2) the education advancement is able to respond to the impact of industrial structure change in a timely manner. The impact of the industrial structure rationalization on the innovation outputs is characterized by a response delay, whereas the impact on the graduates scale is not strong; 3) the advancement and rationalization of the industrial structure make great contribution to the education advancement. The contribution of innovation outputs to the industrial structure rationalization is much greater than that of the graduates scale.
Key words：industrial structure change; university outputs; Granger test; VAR model; pulse response