长江流域资源与环境 >> 2023, Vol. 32 >> Issue (5): 961-972.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202305007

• 自然资源 • 上一篇    下一篇

长江经济带水足迹与省市规模时空关联格局及驱动因素研究

童纪新,吕  晴*   

  1. (河海大学商学院,江苏 南京 211100)
  • 出版日期:2023-05-20 发布日期:2023-05-19

Spatio-temporal Correlation Pattern and Driving Factors Between Water Footprint and Provincial Scale in Yangtze River Economic Belt#br#

TONG Ji-xin, LV Qing   

  1. (Business School, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, China)
  • Online:2023-05-20 Published:2023-05-19

摘要: 长江经济带是我国经济发展的主要载体之一,其水资源可持续利用问题也备受关注。为探究该地区水足迹与省市规模15年的时空关联格局,基于脱钩模型和不均衡指数对长江经济带2006~2020年水足迹与省市规模时空关系进行研究,利用时空地理加权回归探究影响区域水资源消耗的因素,并从时空异质性角度展开讨论。研究表明:(1)长江经济带水足迹增长率逐年降低,且各省市水足迹强度与人均水足迹空间分布格局相似。(2)2006~2020年间各省市水足迹与经济规模呈现弱脱钩,但已有6/11省市于“十三五”期间达到理想的强脱钩状态,水资源丰富的省市水足迹与人口规模协调度较好,水足迹与空间规模的发展均衡性与各省市地形地貌有关。(3)省市规模、节水技术、产业结构与水资源管理等因素对水足迹高低产生显著影响,水足迹的驱动因素存在时空异质性,影响力随发展阶段和地区变换而改变。

Abstract: The Yangtze River economic belt is one of the main carriers of China’s economic development whose problem of water resource utilization continues to be concerned. To explore the spatio-temporal correlation pattern and driving factors between water footprint and provincial scale from 2006 to 2020, the spatio-temporal relationship was calculated by decoupling model and disequilibrium index. The factors affecting regional water resource consumption were explored by geographically and temporally weighted regression model and to be discussed from the perspective of heterogeneity. The results showed that: (1)The growth rate of the water footprint in the Yangtze River Economic Belt decreases year by year, and the spatial distribution pattern of water footprint intensity of each province is similar to that of per capita water footprint.(2)There is a weak decoupling between water footprint and economic scale from 2006 to 2020, but 6/11 regions have reached an ideal state of strong decoupling during The thirteenth Five-Year Plan period. Provinces with abundant water resources have good coordination with population size while the balance between water footprint and spatial scale is related to the topography. (3)The water footprint is affected by provincial scale, water-saving technology, industrial structure, and water resources management. Moreover, the effects have spatio-temporal heterogeneity changing with the development stage and regional change.

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