长江流域资源与环境 >> 2024, Vol. 33 >> Issue (11): 2391-2409.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202411007

• 自然资源 • 上一篇    下一篇

农业用水效率时空格局演化及驱动因素研究——基于长江经济带与黄河流域的比较

王蕾1,许嘉伟2*,张晟哲1   

  1. (1.河海大学商学院,江苏 常州 213022;2.湖南大学工商管理学院,湖南 长沙 410012)

  • 出版日期:2024-11-20 发布日期:2024-11-27

Spatial and Temporal Evolution and Driving Factors of  Agricultural Water Use Efficiency:A Comparison Between the Yangtze River Economic Belt and the Yellow River Basin

WANG Lei1 , XU Jia-wei2, ZHANG Sheng-zhe1   

  1. (1.Business School, Hohai University, Changzhou 213022, China;2.Business School,Hunan University, Changsha 410012, China)
  • Online:2024-11-20 Published:2024-11-27

摘要: 提升农业用水效率,加快节水农业转型对探索长江经济带与黄河流域农业高质量发展路径意义重大。基于2011~2021年长江经济带与黄河流域19个省区的面板数据,运用超效率数据包络和Malmquist指数对农业用水效率及其变化趋势进行测算和比较分析,采用Tobit回归模型和时空地理加权模型,考察两大区域农业用水效率影响因素的差异性。研究发现:(1)长江经济带与黄河流域农业用水效率稳步提高,后者农业用水效率整体偏低,两区域下游地区农业用水效率相对较高。长江经济带多数省区存在农业废水冗余,黄河流域农业用水投入过多,两大区域在农作物播种面积指标上均存在严重冗余。(2)长江经济带与黄河流域农业用水效率增长率呈现波动上升趋势,且长江经济带农业用水效率年均增长率要高于黄河流域。从指数分解结构来看,长江经济带的技术进步指数远高于黄河流域,而黄河流域的技术效率指数高于长江经济带。(3)随着时间推移,人均GDP、有效灌溉指数和粮食播种面积占比对长江经济带农业用水效率影响显著,而农业用水占比对黄河流域农业用水效率的影响最显著。从因素的影响差异性来看,长江经济带显著高于黄河流域。据此,针对长江经济带与黄河流域农业用水效率分别提出相关政策建议。

Abstract: To explore the routine of high-quality agricultural development, it is essential to enhance the effectiveness of agricultural water use and to accelerate the transition towards water-conserving agriculture. This study employed super-efficiency data envelopment analysis and the Malmquist index to assess and evaluate the agricultural water use efficiency (AWUE) in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) and the Yellow River Basin (YRB). Panel data from 19 provinces and regions covering 2011 to 2021 were collected. The Tobit regression model and Spatio -Temporal Geographic Weighted Regression model were employed to examine the disparities in the determinants of AWUE in the two regions. This study revealed that :(1) the AWUE in the two regions had been  consistently improved. The AWUE of YRB was poor. Moreover, the AWUE of the downstream areas of the two regions was comparatively high. The majority of provinces and regions inside the YREB experienced an excess of agricultural wastewater, whereas the YRB had an excessive inflow of agricultural water. There was a significant overlap in the crop planting area indicators between the two main zones. (2) The AWUE in the two regions experienced a fluctuating upward trend. The average annual growth rate of the AWUE in the YREB was greater than that in the YRB. When considering the index decomposition structure, the YREB had a significantly greater technological development index compared to the YRB. However, the YRB demonstrated a higher technical efficiency index than the YREB. (3) Factors of per capita GDP, effective irrigation index, and the proportion of grain sown area had a notable influence on the AWUE in the YREB. On the other hand, the proportion of agricultural water use had the greatest impact on the AWUE in the YRB. The influencing degree demonstrated a region-dependent difference, i.e. the factors in the YREB had a much greater impact than in the YRB. Therefore, this study proposed corresponding policies to improve the AWUE in the YREB and the YRB.


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