长江流域资源与环境 >> 2024, Vol. 33 >> Issue (11): 2474-2487.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202411013

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

长江中游城市群城乡融合与碳排放耦合协调时空演化及影响因素

杨吉鑫,崔许锋*,张光宏   

  1. (中南财经政法大学工商管理学院,湖北 武汉 430073)
  • 出版日期:2024-11-20 发布日期:2024-11-27

Spatio-temporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Coupling Coordination Between Urban-Rural Integration and Carbon Emission in Urban Agglomeration in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River

YANG Ji-xin,CUI Xu-feng,ZHANG Guang-hong   

  1. (School of Business Adminstration, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan 430073, China)
  • Online:2024-11-20 Published:2024-11-27

摘要: 探索城乡融合与“双碳”之间的关联对推动生态文明建设和实现区域高质量发展具有重要意义。基于此,以长江中游城市群为研究对象,运用耦合协调度模型、趋势面法与地理探测器,研究2010~2019年城乡融合与碳排放耦合协调的时空演化及影响因素。结果表明:(1)城乡融合水平整体呈上升趋势,但平均值较低且区域差异明显。(2)碳排放强度整体呈波动下降的趋势,区域差异在缩小但仍有不均衡现象。(3)城乡融合水平与碳排放强度的耦合协调度呈波动上升趋势,耦合协调类型由勉强协调演化为中级协调,城市群向着环境友好型发展;各城市耦合协调度变化可分为快速上升的中心城市、辐射上升的周边城市、稳定上升的节点城市和缓慢上升的边缘城市4种,尤其边缘城市还有较大的提升空间;耦合协调度的空间分布表现出“东西方向上中间低两端高,南北方向上南高北低”的特征。(4)非农从业比、土地城镇化、城乡空间流通媒介、人均GDP和城乡人口密度比是影响耦合协调度的核心因素。最后,在打造绿色低碳的协调发展模式、强化省会城市引领功能以及增强中小城市发展动能方面提出建议。

Abstract: Exploring the correlation between urban-rural integration and "double carbon" is of great significance for promoting the construction of ecological civilization and achieving high-quality regional development. Taking the urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River as the research object, this study used the coupling coordination degree model, the trend surface method and the geographic detector to study the spatio-temporal evolution and influencing factors of coupling coordination between urban-rural integration and carbon emission from 2010 to 2019. The results showed that: (1) The overall level of urban-rural integration was on the rise, but the average value was low and the regional differences were obvious. (2) The overall carbon emission intensity showed a downward trend, with narrowing regional differences, but with an existence of imbalance. (3) The coupling coordination degree between urban-rural integration level and carbon emission intensity showed a fluctuating upward trend. The type of coupling coordination evolved from reluctant coordination to intermediate coordination, indicating a development towards environmentally friendly urban agglomeration. The changes in coupling coordination degree of various cities could be divided into four types: rapidly rising central cities, radiantly rising peripheral cities, steadily rising node cities, and slowly rising marginal cities. In particular, marginal cities had much room for further improvement. The spatial distribution of coupling coordination degree showed the characteristics of "low in the middle and high at both ends in the east-west direction, and high in the south and low in the north in the north-south direction". (4) Non-agricultural employment ratio, land urbanization, urban-rural spatial circulation media, per capita GDP and urban-rural population density ratio were the core factors influencing the coupling coordination degree. Finally, suggestions were put forward in building a coordinated development model with green and low-carbon characteristics, strengthening the leading role of provincial capital cities, and enhancing the development momentum of small and medium-sized cities.

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