长江流域资源与环境 >> 2024, Vol. 33 >> Issue (11): 2513-2524.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202411016

• 农业发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

粮食主产区农业生态效率时空演变及驱动因素研究 ——基于三大流域视角

刘婷婷1,2,秦会艳1*,黄颖利1   

  1. (1.东北林业大学经济管理学院,黑龙江 哈尔滨150040;2.湖南大学经济与贸易学院,湖南 长沙410082)
  • 出版日期:2024-11-20 发布日期:2024-11-27

Spatial-temporal Evolution and Driving factors of Agricultural Ecological Efficiency in Major Grain Producing Areas:Based on the Perspective of Three Major River Basins

LIU Ting-ting1,2, QIN Hui-yan1, HUANG Ying-li1   

  1. (1. School of Economics ?? Management, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin 150040, China;2. School of Economics & Trade, Hunan University, Changsha 1410082, China)
  • Online:2024-11-20 Published:2024-11-27

摘要: 农业生态效率是农业可持续发展的重要指标,粮食主产区是保障粮食安全的重要支撑,推进粮食主产区的农业生态效率提升,是实现农业可持续发展的重要途径之一。从三大流域视角出发采用考虑非期望产出的超效率SBM模型对我国13个粮食主产区2012~2021年的农业生态效率进行时序演变测度,运用泰尔指数揭示粮食主产区农业生态效率空间分异特征,并在此基础上借助地理探测器模型识别农业生态效率时空演进的主导驱动因素及其交互作用。研究结论如下:(1)研究期间粮食主产区农业生态效率总体呈现波动上升态势,年均增长率1.05%,但始终未达到有效状态。三大流域表现出不均衡状态,具有明显的分级特征:松花江流域 > 长江流域 >黄河流域;(2)粮食主产区农业生态效率空间分异显著,但总体差异呈缩小趋势。三大流域的空间差异主要源于区域内,其中长江流域差异与贡献率最大,黄河流域次之、松花江流域最小;(3)城镇化率、农民收入水平、降水是粮食主产区农业生态效率的主导驱动因素,且主导驱动因素对三大流域农业生态效率的影响表现出一定地域性与差异性。粮食主产区农业生态效率时空演进受社会经济发展、农业资源禀赋、自然生态环境多维度综合驱动作用,双因素交互探测以非线性增强为主,双因素增强为辅。最后,基于粮食主产区三大流域农业生态效率时空演变及空间分异特征、主导驱动因素及交互作用,提出提升三大流域农业生态效率的对策。

Abstract: Agricultural ecological efficiency is an important indicator of sustainable agricultural development. Major grain-producing areas are an important support for guaranteeing food security. Promoting the improvement of agricultural ecological efficiency in major food-producing areas is one of the important ways to achieve sustainable agricultural development. This paper measured the temporal evolution of agricultural ecological efficiency in China's major grain-producing regions from 2012~2021 by using the super-efficient SBM model, taking into account the non-desired outputs from the perspective of the three major river basins. The Theil index was used to reveal the spatial differentiation characteristics of agricultural ecological efficiency in the main grain producing areas. On this basis, the dominant influencing factors and their interactions affecting the spatial-temporal evolution of agricultural ecological efficiency were identified, with the help of geographical detector model. The results showed: (1) The agricultural ecological efficiency in the main grain producing areas showed a fluctuating upward trend, with an average annual growth rate of 1.05%, however, it did not reach an effective state during the study period. The three major basins showed an imbalance state, with obvious hierarchical features: Songhua River Basin > Yangtze River Basin > Yellow River Basin; (2) The spatial differentiation of agricultural ecological efficiency was significant, but the overall difference was at a decreasing trend. The spatial differences among the three major river basins mainly originated from within the region, among which the Yangtze River Basin had the largest difference and contribution rate, followed by the Yellow River Basin and the Songhua River Basin. (3)The dominant drivers of agricultural ecological efficiency were  urbanization rate, farmers' income level, precipitation. The influence of dominant driving factors on agricultural ecological efficiency showed a feature of territoriality and difference. The spatial and temporal evolution of agricultural ecological efficiency was driven by the multi-dimensional comprehensive effects of social and economic development, agricultural resource endowment and natural ecological environment. The interactive detection was mainly based on nonlinear enhancement, supplemented by double enhancement. Finally, based on the research outcome, the countermeasures to further improve the agricultural ecological efficiency of the three major basins were proposed.

No related articles found!
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
No Suggested Reading articles found!