长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (11): 2515-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202511011

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

长江中下游浅水湖泊生态系统稳态转换阈值研究——以滆湖为例

蒋乔峰1,高鸣远2,盛路遥3,蔡永久3,程晨3   

  1. (1. 常州市生态环境监控中心,江苏 常州 213022;2. 江苏省水文水资源勘测局,江苏 南京 210029; 3. 中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所,湖泊与流域水安全全国重点实验室, 江苏 南京 211135)
  • 出版日期:2025-11-20 发布日期:2025-11-20

Regime Shift Thresholds of Shallow Lake Ecosystems in the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River: A Case Study of Gehu Lake

JIANG Qiao-feng1, GAO Ming-yuan2, SHENG Lu-yao3, CAI Yong-jiu3, CHENG Chen3   

  1. (1. Changzhou Supervision Center of Ecology and Environment, Changzhou 213022, China; 2. Jiangsu Province Hydrology and Water Resources Investigation Bureau, Nanjing 210029, China; 3. State Key Laboratory of Lake and Watershed Science for Water Security, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 211135, China)
  • Online:2025-11-20 Published:2025-11-20

摘要: 水体富营养化背景下,湖泊由“草型”向“藻型”稳态转换已经成为一种普遍的湖泊系统退化现象。以滆湖为研究对象,基于1986~2022年水文气象、水质、草—藻特征指标以及围网养殖面积监测数据,分析生态系统稳态转换节点、驱动因子及其阈值。结果表明:草—藻特征指标频数在不同营养水平的多峰现象,以及草—藻特征指标与典型环境因子之间关系的明显跃变现象,表明滆湖生态系统多稳态性的存在。广义加性模型(GAM)分析结果表明总磷(TP)和透明度是滆湖草—藻特征指标变化的主要驱动因子。基于滆湖水文、气象、水质和草—藻特征指标变化,以及TP和透明度阈值分析结果,可将滆湖生态系统转变分为3个阶段:(1)1986~2000年滆湖处于草型稳态,此阶段TP浓度<0.078 mg/L,透明度≥0.6 m;(2)2000~2007年滆湖处于草—藻过渡态,此阶段0.078 mg/L≤TP≤0.13 mg/L;(3)2007~2022年滆湖处于藻型稳态,TP>0.13 mg/L,透明度<0.6 m。研究结果有助于理解浅水湖泊稳态转换机制,为滆湖水生态保护与管理提供参考。

Abstract: Lake regime shift from macrophyte-dominated to algae-dominated steady state under the background of water body eutrophication, is a common phenomenon of lake ecosystem degradation. Taking Lake Gehu as the research object, this paper analysed the time points, driving factors and their thresholds of ecosystem regime shift. The data used covered a period of 1986-2022 and included hydrometeorological data, water quality, macrophyte and algae characteristic indicators, and aquaculture area. There existed the multimodal phenomenon of the frequency of macrophyte and algae characteristics indicators at different levels of eutrophication. The obvious jumps were also evidenced in the relationships of macrophyte and algae characteristic indicators with typical environmental factors. These proved the existence of alternative stable states in the Lake Gehu ecosystem. Generalized additive model (GAM) revealed that total phosphorus (TP) concentration and transparency were the main driving factors for the changes in macrophyte and algae characteristic indicators in Lake Gehu. Based on the above data and the TP and transparency thresholds, the regime shift of Lake Gehu ecosystem could be divided into three phases: (1) From 1986 to 2000, the Lake was characterized as a stable state dominated by macrophytes. At this stage, TP concentration<0.078 mg/L and the transparency ≥ 0.6 m; (2) From 2000 to 2007, the Lake was in a macrophyte-algae transitional state. At this stage, TP concentration ranged from 0.078 mg/L to 0.13 mg/L; (3) From 2007 to 2022, the Lake was in a stable state dominated by algae. At this stage, TP concentration>0.13 mg/L and the transparency<0.6 m. This study contributed to an improved understanding of the mechanisms of regime shift in Lake Gehu and provided early warning and guidance for lake management.

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