长江流域资源与环境 >> 2026, Vol. 35 >> Issue (1): 156-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202601013

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于GTWR模型的长江经济带旅游生态安全影响因素时空特征

何小芊1,刘亚菲2   

  1. (1.东华理工大学数字经济与资源管理学院,江西 南昌 330013;2.东华理工大学地球与行星科学学院,江西 南昌 330013)
  • 出版日期:2026-01-20 发布日期:2026-01-20

Spatial-temporal Characteristics of Influencing Factors of Tourism Ecological Security in the Yangtze River Economic Belt Based on the GTWR Model

HE Xiao-qian1,LIU Ya-fei2   

  1. (1. School of Digital Economics and Resource Management, East China University of Technology, Nanchang 330013, China; 2 .School of Earth and Planetary Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang 330013, China)
  • Online:2026-01-20 Published:2026-01-20

摘要: 探析长江经济带旅游生态安全时空格局及影响因素,可以为长江经济带旅游业高质量发展提供有益参考。运用DPSIR模型构建长江经济带市域尺度旅游生态安全评价指标体系,借助空间分析法探究2010~2020年长江经济带旅游生态安全的时空特征,采用GTWR模型分析旅游生态安全影响因素的时空特征。研究发现:(1)在时序变化上,旅游生态安全水平呈近似“W”型演变趋势,旅游生态安全整体水平不断上升,风险等级由风险级逐步向敏感级与临界安全级跃迁。(2)在空间格局上,旅游生态安全呈现显著的空间异质性,表现为“低值区集聚、高值区离散分布”的空间特征,“核心-边缘”递减效应明显;市域旅游生态安全水平空间集聚性较弱,下游地区集聚性高于上游地区,“低-低”集聚区数量呈上升趋势,“高-高”集聚区数量逐年下降。(3)从影响程度上看,GDP增长率和人均可支配收入对旅游生态安全有显著的正向影响,人均旅游收入、园林绿地面积和教育支出占一般公共预算比重的影响程度小;影响因素的空间异质性显著,GDP增长率和人均可支配收入的影响系数呈现“西高东低”的分布格局,人口密度影响系数呈现由东至西逐渐降低的趋势,教育支出占一般公共预算比重的影响系数呈现“东弱西强”的负向梯度格局。

Abstract: The analysis of the spatial-temporal characteristics of the influencing factors of tourism ecological security in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) can provide useful reference for the high-quality development in the region. The DPSIR model was used to construct the city-scale tourism ecological security evaluation index system of the YREB. The spatial-temporal characteristics of the tourism ecological security were explored from 2010 to 2020. The GTWR model was used to analyze the influencing factors of tourism ecological security. The findings were as follows: (1) In terms of temporal changes, the level of tourism ecological security showed an approximate “W” type evolution trend, the overall level of tourism ecological security was rising, and the risk level gradually changed from risky level to sensitive level and critical level. (2) In terms of spatial pattern, tourism ecological security presented significant spatial heterogeneity, showing the spatial features of “agglomeration in low-value areas and discrete distribution in high-value areas”, and the “core-edge”decreasing effect was obvious; The spatial agglomeration of tourism ecological security level in cities was weak, the agglomeration in the downstream area was higher than that in the upstream area. The number of “low-low” agglomeration areas was on the rise, and the number of “high-high” agglomeration areas was on the decline. (3) From the perspective of impact degree, GDP growth rate and per capita disposable income had a significant positive impact on tourism ecological security, while per capita tourism income, green space and education expenditure had a small impact on the proportion of general public budget; The spatial heterogeneity of influencing factors was significant. The influencing coefficient of GDP growth rate and per capita disposable income showed a distribution pattern of “high in the west and low in the east”. The influencing coefficient of population density showed a trend of gradual decline from east to west, and the influencing coefficient of the proportion of education expenditure in the general public budget showed a negative gradient pattern of “weak in the east and strong in the west”.

No related articles found!
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
No Suggested Reading articles found!