长江流域资源与环境 >> 2026, Vol. 35 >> Issue (2): 440-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202602013

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

江苏省农业降碳减污扩绿增长协同发展的空间关联网络特征及演化机制

孙志贤1,郑欣悦2,陆一轩3,姚冠新1*   

  1. (1.扬州大学商学院,江苏 扬州 225009; 2.南京农业大学公共管理学院,江苏 南京 210095;3.扬州大学苏中发展研究院,江苏 扬州 225009)
  • 出版日期:2026-02-20 发布日期:2026-02-26

Characteristics of Spatial Correlation Network and Evolutionary Mechanism of Coordinated Development of Agricultural Carbon Reduction, Pollution Abatement, Green Expansion and Growth in Jiangsu Province

SUN Zhi-xian1,ZHENG Xin-yue2,LU Yi-xuan3,YAO Guan-xin1    

  1. (1.Business School, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China;
    2.College of Public Administration, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China;
    3.Research Institute of Central Jiangsu Development, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China)
  • Online:2026-02-20 Published:2026-02-26

摘要: 协同推进农业降碳减污扩绿增长,是加快推动农业绿色转型与高质量协调发展的内在要求。综合运用修正耦合协调度模型、修正引力模型、社会网络分析和时间指数随机图模型,测度2006~2022年江苏省县域和地级市尺度下农业降碳减污扩绿增长的协同效应,考察双尺度下协同效应空间关联网络的结构特征及演化机制。结果表明:(1)研究期内,双尺度下江苏省农业降碳减污扩绿增长的协同效应均呈向好发展态势,但县级尺度下空间差异更为突出,中级协调以上的县域占比不足35%。(2)双尺度下协同效应空间关联网络的关联度始终为1,网络连通性较好,但网络密度稳定在020 ~ 031之间且呈现“先增后减”趋势,空间关联性仍有较大提升空间。(3)双尺度下协同效应空间关联网络呈现“核心-边缘”结构,盐城市在市级网络中扮演主导者角色,而县级尺度下盐城市辖区、射阳县和高邮市处于网络核心位置,并发挥中介作用。(4)互惠性、连通性和稳定性等内生驱动因素,以及农业规模化水平、农业科技化水平、趋同性和地理邻近性等外生驱动因素,对双尺度下协同效应空间关联网络的演化均有显著影响。研究可为江苏省推进农业降碳减污扩绿增长协同发展、加强区域间联动融合提供参考。

Abstract: Collaboratively promoting agricultural carbon reduction, pollution abatement, green expansion, and growth is an inherent requirement for accelerating agricultural green transformation and high-quality coordinated development.This study employed the modified coupling coordination degree model, the modified gravity model, social network analysis, and temporal exponential random graph models to measure the synergistic effects of agricultural carbon reduction, pollution abatement, green expansion, and growth at both county and prefectural-level city scales in Jiangsu Province from 2006 to 2022.The structural characteristics and evolutionary mechanisms of spatial correlation networks under dual scales were further investigated.The findings revealed the following: (1) The synergistic effects of agricultural carbon reduction, pollution abatement, green expansion and growth at both scales exhibited a positive developmental trajectory, but the spatial differences were more prominent at the county scale, with less than 35% of counties achieving intermediate coordination or higher.(2) The correlation degree of the spatial correlation network of the synergistic effects remained at 1 for both scales, indicating strong network connectivity.Nevertheless, the network density stabilized between 020 and 031, exhibiting an initial rise followed by a decline, which suggested that there was still significant potential for improvement in spatial correlation.(3) The spatial correlation network of synergistic effects showed the core-periphery structure at both scales.Yancheng City emerged as a dominant player in the prefectural-level network, while Yancheng Municipal District, Sheyang County, and Gaoyou City held core positions within the county-level network, acting as critical intermediaries.(4) Endogenous driving factors such as reciprocity, connectivity, and stability, together with exogenous driving factors including agricultural scale level, agricultural technological advancement, convergence effects, and geographical proximity, all exerted significant impacts on the evolution of spatial correlation networks of synergistic effects at both scales.This research provided valuable insights for Jiangsu Province to promote the coordinated development of agricultural carbon reduction, pollution abatement, green expansion, and growth, and strengthen regional linkage and integration

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