RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN >> 2015, Vol. 24 >> Issue (09): 1577-1583.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201509019

Previous Articles     Next Articles

Study on the influence factors and evaluation index system of regional flood disaster resilience based on dematel method-taking chaohu basin as a case

SUN Hong-hu1,2, CHENG Xian-fu1,2, DAI Meng-qin1,2, WANG Xiang1,2, KANG Hai-di1,2   

  1. 1. School of Territorial Resources and Tourism, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu, 241003, China;
    2. Anhui Key Laboratory of Natural Disaster Process and Prevention, Wuhu, 241003, China
  • Received:2014-12-16 Revised:2015-03-13 Online:2015-09-20
  • Contact: 程先富,E-mail:xianfucheng@sina.com E-mail:xianfucheng@sina.com

PDF (PC)

29

Abstract: The influencing factors of flood disaster resilience are numerous and interconnected. To identify and distinguish these influencing factors, and find the degree of influence and causality among the factors is of great significance to clarify the key factors of flood disaster resilience, and to quickly find the factors that need to be improved. Through the analysis of the connotation of resilience of disaster, we constructed an index system of influencing factors of regional flood disaster resilience from five dimensions of nature, society, economy, technology, management. We appled DEMATEL to analyze the relationship among the influencing factors of flood disaster resilience, and took Chaohu Basin as a case to refine the index system suitable for evaluation of this regional flood disaster resilience.The results showed that, the influence of natural dimension and economic dimension in the first level indexes have the most significant influence on the other factors, government financial support ability, land factor, terrain factor in the second level indexes have the largest influence on the other factors; in first level indexes the relationship between economy,society and other factors are the most close, and in second level indexes government financial support ability, strength of regional economy, land factor are in the core position; from output of the overall impact, there are two causal factors in first level indexes-nature, economy, and economic impact is of maximum, there are eleven causal factors in the second level indexes, involving five dimensions and including all factors in natural dimension, and the impacts of terrain factor, government financial support ability, disaster policies and regulations are the most important, the other three factors in first level indexes are reason-oriented factors, including management, social, technology, there are twelve factors belonging to reason-oriented factors, giving priority to the factors in management dimension, compared with causal factors, they can improve the level of regional flood disaster resilience by improving the reason-oriented factors more directly.

Key words: flood disaster resilience, evaluation index system, DEMATEL, factors identification, Chaohu Basin

CLC Number: 

  • X43
[1] 葛 怡,史培军,徐 伟,等.恢复力研究的新进展与评述[J].灾害学,2010,25(3):119-124,129.
[2] 刘 婧,史培军,葛 怡,等.灾害恢复力研究进展综述[J].地球科学进展,2006,21(2):212-218.
[3] UNISDR. Living with risk: A global review of disaster reduction initiatives[M]. Geneva, Switzerland: UNISDR, 2002.
[4] PELLING M. The Vulnerability of Cities: Natural Disasters and Social Resilience[M]. London, UK: Earthscan Ltd, 2003.
[5] 葛 怡,史培军,周 忻,等.水灾恢复力评估研究:以湖南省长沙市为例[J].北京师范大学学报:自然科学版,2011,47(2):197-201.
[6] 张 灵,陈晓宏,千怀遂.北江下游防洪保护区恢复力诊断[J].水利学报,2011,42(9):1129-1134.
[7] 谷洪波,李晶云,唐 铠.湖南省农业洪涝灾后恢复力评价指标体系及其应用[J].沈阳农业大学学报:社会科学版,2013,15(3):270-274.
[8] 唐丽艳,周建林,王国红.基于DEMATEL-ANP的产学研集成创新评价研究——以大连双D港企业为例[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2013,34(12):87-96.
[9] 尹剑锋,白世秀.基于DEMATEL的大小兴安岭生态功能区建设影响因素研究[J].林业经济问题,2013,33(4):319-324.
[10] 田雪莲,宋 彧.基于DEMATEL模型的黑龙江省石墨产业可持续发展影响因素分析[J].中国矿业, 2013,22(8):49-53.
[11] 李春荣,耿 涌,薛 冰,等.基于DEMATEL的城市可持续发展障碍因素分析——以沈阳市为例[J].应用生态学报,2012,23(10):2836-2842.
[12] 马 强.DEMATEL方法的矿山安全管理影响因素[J].辽宁工程技术大学学报:自然科学版,2014,33(7):912-916.
[13] 李燕凌,冯允怡,李 楷.重大动物疫病公共危机防控能力关键因素研究——基于DEMATEL方法[J].灾害学,2014,29(4):1-7.
[14] 胡俊锋,杨佩国,杨月巧,等.防洪减灾能力评价指标体系和评价方法研究[J].自然灾害学报,2010,19(3):82-87.
[15] 刘 婧,方伟华,葛 怡,等.区域水灾恢复力及水灾风险管理研究——以湖南省洞庭湖区为例[J].自然灾害学报,2006,15(6):56-61.
[16] 胡俊锋,杨月巧,杨佩国.基于减灾能力评价的洪涝灾害综合风险研究[J].资源科学,2014,36(1): 94-102.
[17] 胡俊锋,杨佩国,吕爱锋,等.基于ISM的区域综合减灾能力评价指标体系研究[J].灾害学,2014,29(1):75-80.
[18] 孙鸿鹄,程先富,倪 玲,等.基于云模型和熵权法的巢湖流域防洪减灾能力评估[J].灾害学,2015,30(1):222-227.
[19] 国务院办公厅.国家综合防灾减灾规划(2011-2015年)[EB/OL].(2011-12-08).[2014-12-17].http://www.gov.cn/zwgk/2011-12/08/content_2015178.htm.
[20] 中国气象局.气象发展规划(2011-2015年)[EB/OL].(2011-12-08).[2014-12-17].http://www.cma.gov.cn/2011xzt/2011zhuant/20111104/2011110403/201112/t20111208_156115.html.
[21] 丁祖芬,朱比翔,吴志传.巢湖地区洪涝灾害成因及抗灾减灾对策[J].安徽农业科技,2000,28(1):39-40,42.
[22] 杨则东,鹿献章.长江安徽段及巢湖水患区防洪治水的环境地质问题[J].长江流域资源与环境,2001,10(3):279-283.
[23] 程先富,郝丹丹,韩 平,等.基于格网数据的巢湖流域洪涝灾害损失评估[J].长江流域资源与环境,2014,23(10):1479-1484.
[1] REN Jun-lin, LI Hao, WU Xin-mu, LI Xue-song. ASSESSMENT OF 11 PROVINCIAL CAPITALS' WATER ECOLOGICAL CIVILIZATION OF THE YANGTZE RIVER ECONOMIC BELT ON THE PRINCIPAL COMPONENT [J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2016, 25(10): 1537-1544.
[2] SUN Hong-hu, CHENG Xian-fu, CHEN Yi-xiang, ZHANG Yuan. STUDY ON THE TEMPORAL AND SPATIAL EVOLUTION OF REGIONAL FLOOD DISASTER RESILIENCE: TAKING THE CHAOHU BASIN AS A CASE [J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2016, 25(09): 1384-1394.
[3] QIAN Hong, YAN Yun-zhi, CHU Ling, ZHU Ren, GAO Jun-feng, CAI Yong-jiu. SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL PATTERNS OF FISH ASSEMBLAGES IN THE RIVERS OF CHAOHU BASIN [J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2016, 25(02): 257-264.
[4] CHENG Xian-fu, DAI Meng-qin, HAO Dan-dan, WU Qing-shuang. REGIONAL FLOOD RISK ASSESSMENT BASED ON SCENARIO ANALYSIS——A CASE STUDY OF CHAOHU BASIN [J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2015, 24(08): 1418-1424.
[5] CHENG Jun-rui, XU Ji-rong, ZHENG Qi-hong, CHEN Peng-cheng. AN EVALUATION FRAMEWORK FOR THE EFFECT OF COMPREHENSIVE TREATMENTS AND APPLICATION IN NINGBO URBAN RIVER [J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2015, 24(06): 1060-1066.
[6] DAI Tian-Cheng-| SUN Chao-Rong-| DIAO Wen-Hui-| GU Bao-Tan-. EVALUATION OF THE SUSTAINABILITY OF WATER RESOURCE SYSTEM BASED ON FAHPPP MODEL [J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2009, 18(5): 421-.
[7] YANG Gong-, Yuan-Zheng-Chao-, Liu-Jian-, Chen-Jin-Hui-, Tun-Jian-Hui-, Wang-Chun-Feng-, Jiao-Dun-Feng-. PRIMARILY ASSESSMENT OF ECOSYSTEM HEALTH OF CHANGJIANG TUNNELBRIDGE PROJECT IN SHANGHAI WATERS [J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2009, 18(11): 1031-.
[8] WU Kaiya, WANG Lingjie. ECONOMIC LOSSES CAUSED BY AIR POLLUTION IN CHAOHU BASIN [J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2007, 16(6): 781-781.
[9] YE Min, ZHANG Li,. PRELIMINARY DISCUSSION OF THE EVALUATION INDEX SYSTEM FOR THE AQUATIC ECOSYSTEM OF THE HEALTHY YANGTZE RIVER [J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2006, 15(Sup1): 72-76.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited
  Shared   
  Discussed   
[1] LI Na,XU You-peng,CHEN Shuang. INFLUENCE OF URBANIZATION ON PRECIPITATION IN SUZHOU CITY[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2006, 15(3): 335 -339 .
[2] ZHANG Zheng, FU Rongbing, YANG Haizhen, GU Guowei. COMPARISON OF ORGANIC MATTER REMOVAL IN SUBSURFACE |HORIZONTAL FLOW WETLANDS BASED ON WATER BUDGET [J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2007, 16(3): 363 .
[3] SUN Weixia, ZHAO Yongcun, HUANG Biao, LIAO Jingjing, WANG Zhigang, WANG Hongjie. SPATIAL VARIABILITY OF SELENIUM IN SOIL ENVIRONMENT AND  ITS CORRELATION WITH HUMAN HEALTH IN THE YANGTZE RIVER DELTA OF CHINA[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2008, 17(1): 113 .
[4] XU Su-fang, ZHOU Yin-kang. EVALUATION ON THE SUSTAINABILITY IN LAND USE OF DEVELOPMENT ZONE——A CASE STUDY IN WUHU ECONOMIC AND TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT ZONE[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2006, 15(4): 453 -457 .
[5] HAO Hanzhou,JIN Menggui,CAO Lijing,XIE Xianjun. APPLICATION OF FUZZY MATHEMATICS IN WATER QUALITY ASSESSMENT[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2006, 15(Sup1): 83 -87 .
[6] LIU Yao-bin,LI Ren-dong. ANALYSIS ON REGIONAL DISPARITY OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN HUBEI PROVINCE FROM 1994 TO 2000[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2004, 13(1): 12 -17 .
[7] SHI Lian-qiang, LI Jiu-fa, YING Ming, ZUO Shu-hua, XU Hai-gen. EVOLUTIONAL PROCESS IN MEIMAOSHA OF THE YANGTZE RIVER ESTUARY AND ITS RESPONSE TO RESERVOIR PROJECT[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2006, 15(4): 458 -464 .
[8] ZHANG Dai-jun,XU Dan-yu,REN Hong-yang,CAO Hai-bing, ZHENG Min, LIU Hui-qiang. PROBLEMS IN RELATION TO CONTROL OF WATER POLLUTION IN THE THREE GORGES′ RESERVOIR IN THE YANGTZE RIVER[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2005, 14(5): 605 -610 .
[9] WANG Zhao-Lei-, He-Xin-Qi-. GOVERNING THE NATURE CALAMITY OF HUBEI PROVINCE AND LESSONS IN THE LATE QING DYNASTY[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2009, 18(11): 1080 .
[10] HUI Jie-, HE Xiu-Bin-. ANTHROPOGENIC IMPACTS ON THE SEDIMENT LOAD VARIATIONS IN THE JIALING RIVER BASIN[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2010, 19(2): 196 .
Copyright © RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, All Rights Reserved.
Powered by Beijing Magtech Co. Ltd