RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN >> 2016, Vol. 25 >> Issue (09): 1403-1411.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201609011

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SIMULATION AND OPTIMIZATION OF ECOLOGICAL CIVILIZATION CONSTRUCTIOON IN JIANGXI PROVINCE

ZHANG Zhen-dong1, ZHANG Yan-fei2,3, TANG Xin1   

  1. 1. Faculty of Nuclear Engineering and Geophysics of East China Institute of Technology, Nanchang 330013, China;
    2. Faculty of Science of East China Institute of Technology, Nanchang 330013, China;
    3. Research Center for Jiangxi Ecological Civilization System, Nanchang 330013, China
  • Received:2015-12-15 Revised:2016-03-18 Online:2016-09-20
  • Supported by:
    Simulation and Control of the Development of Mineral Resources Ecological Economic System in Poyang Lake;Research on Evaluation System of Economic and Social Development Based on Resources, Environment and Ecological Relationships in Jiangxi Province;Dynamics Simulation System for Sustainable Development of Uranium Mines in Jiangxi Province

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Abstract: Regional ecological civilization construction is a dynamic complex systematic engineering which takes socioeconomic conditions, resources and environment as its core. In this paper we applied the theory and method of system dynamics to analyze the interaction of ecological civilization construction factors (the social and economic development, the supply of energy resources and ecological environment) in Jiangxi Province. We built the dynamic model of ecological civilization construction system in Jiangxi Province, then used historical data of ecological civilization construction of Jiangxi Province to simulate the model, the high degree of authenticity proved the model was consistent with the actual situation of ecological civilization construction in Jiangxi Province. According to the change of main variables in the system dynamics simulation process, we adjusted the control variables and related parameters to simulate the development of ecological civilization construction from 2011 to 2030 under four developing scenarios (the maintaining status, the economic priority, the resource environment priority and the coordinated development model).The simulation result suggested that, by 2030, the balance of supply and demand of energy index is -0.113, the environmental pollution degree is 0.083. These could promote the efficient development of the social economy, and realize the intensive utilization of resources and friendly ecological environment under the coordinated development model. The coordinated development model will be the optimal model to develop ecological civilization construction in Jiangxi Province. In addition, the results could provide reference to the construction of ecological civilization in Jiangxi province.

Key words: Jiangxi Province, ecological civilization construction, system simulation, optimization

CLC Number: 

  • X171.1
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