RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN >> 2016, Vol. 25 >> Issue (01): 16-24.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201601003

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ANALYSIS OF COMPREHENSIVE UTILITY OF WATER UTILIZATION STRUCTURE BASED ON THE INTEGRATION METHODS OF SYSTEM DYNAMIC AND INPUT-OUTPUT ANALYSIS IN JIANGSU PROVINCE

SHEN Jia-yao1, ZHANG Ling-ling1, WANG Zong-zhi2   

  1. 1. Water Management Institute, School of Public Administration, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, China;
    2. Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Nanjing 210029, China
  • Received:2015-04-27 Revised:2015-06-11 Online:2016-01-20

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Abstract: The unreasonable water utilization structure of industry restricts the development of society to a certain extent. How to evaluate the circumstance of water utilization of industry scientifically and secure coordinated development under the restriction of economic benefits, water resources and environment resources have become a technical issue that socioeconomic development has faced and with the urgent need to answer. This paper takes Jiangsu province as an example and puts forward the integration methods of system dynamic and input-output analysis. The interactive model of system dynamics of water resources composite utilization was conducted which reflects the structure of industry, water utilization and sewage drainage. We determine the critical variables which affect the system significantly through sensitivity analysis. The technology of input-output analysis was used to analyze the water utilization characteristics, pollution features and economic benefits features to build the simulation schemes of industrial development. Combined with the system dynamics model output, the comprehensive water utility of key industrial sectors in the year 2025 was analyzed and compared under three kinds of development schemes. Furthermore, the program of "water saving and control pollution" was selected as an optimal scheme. Finally, some countermeasures and suggestions were put forward to protect the implementation of the scheme and provide decision-making basis for industrial upgrading and restructuring of water utilization for Jiangsu province.

Key words: integration methods of system dynamic and input-output analysis, water utilization structure of industry, comprehensive utility, scheme simulation and optimization

CLC Number: 

  • F301.24
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