RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN >> 2006, Vol. 15 >> Issue (3): 281-286.

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THE SPATIAL MODEL FOR COUNTYSCOPE POPULATION MIGRATION AIDED BY GIS——A CASE STUDY IN LIN′AN COUNTY, ZHEJIANG PROVINCE

ZHENG Ming-mei,LI Man-chun,MAO Liang,LI Shao-guang   

  • Received:2005-07-19 Revised:2005-10-19 Online:2006-05-20
  • Contact: ZHENG Ming-mei

Abstract: Population migration, an important area in human geography, results in the spatial variations of the quantity, quality, and structure of population. Since most preceding related models used administrative units as their basic calculation units, they cannot describe the pattern of population migration within administrative units. This paper, however, proposes a countyscope gravity model to present the smallscale population migrations, using separated resident areas as basic calculation units. Taking Lin'an county, Zhejiang Province, as study area, the proposed model has been implemented with GIS. A conclusion in then teached on the gravity potential index of each town which shows correlation with its rising population data. From the thematic map concerning the maximum probability destination which will be selected by the immigrants, it indicates that it is the downtown area of Lin'an County that is more attractive to the surrounding rural residents than any other towns.

Key words: GIS, population migration, gravity model, Lin An County

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