RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN >> 2016, Vol. 25 >> Issue (02): 180-189.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201602002

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IMPACT OF SHANGHAI PORT ON ITS INDIRECT HINTERLAND ECONOMY——BASED ON THE PATH OF CAPITAL AND LOGISTICS

SONG Min, LI Jian, JIANG Miao-miao   

  1. Business College, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, China
  • Received:2015-06-09 Revised:2015-08-26 Online:2016-02-20
  • Supported by:
    Collaborative innovation center Foundation of Education Committee of Jiangsu Province;Humanities and Social Science Research Base Foundation of Education Committee of Jiangsu Province;Humanities and Social Sciences Foundation of the Ministry of Education(15YJAF90052)

Abstract: Capital flow and logistics could be as a carrier of the harbor to indirect hinterland economy effect, in this paper, based on its path for a detailed analysis. This paper tentatively built the panel data model to analysis port hub role of capital, Logistics park the feeder port and anhydrous port had influence on indirect hinterland economy, further combined with influence algorithm of port hub role, and the empirical research revealed that the capital path of the Shanghai port to indirect economic hinterland of gross output elasticity was 0.058 6. Through the logistics system dynamics analysis of the path of SD flow chart described, combined with the mathematical equations set each element of the Eviews software, choosing Shanghai port for the simulation analysis, and using historical data to test the model, the error is within an acceptable range. Further by short-term forecasting system, combined with the result of prediction found the goods transport on indirect hinterland economy effect of elasticity was about 0.7. Finally, respectively, by the Shanghai mainly increased the throughput of system simulation, it found containers and oil, natural gas and products of logistics transportation had the greatest influence on indirect hinterland economy.

Key words: seaport, indirect hinterland economy, capital path, Logistics path

CLC Number: 

  • U116
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