Abstract:

Transferring a certain number of overload populations to outside is the premise of land ecological construction in the Three Gorges ecological barrier zone. Based on a household questionnaire survey and interviews, sampling investigation to farmers migration willingness at Fuling, Fengjie, Zigui, and Yiling counties of the Three Gorges ecological barrier region were undertaken, and Logistic regression model was applied to analyze the main factors influencing farmers migration decisions, the results showed that: householder culture level, family nonagricultural income proportion, per capita area of farmland, distance between the village and town, and villages environment are the main factors affecting farmers migration willingness. The higher the householders culture level, the greater proportion of nonagricultural income, the bigger the per capita area of farmland, the farther of the distance between village and town, and the worse living environment, then the farmer will have the more strong migration willingness. In addition, the district factor is also affecting farmers migration willingness, farmers migration willingness in Zigui County is significantly stronger than that in Fuling, Yiling and Fengjie, and the odds ratio of the four counties is 5049∶1638∶1166∶1. In order to encourage farmers migration willingness and promote the successful implementation of the Three Gorge ecological construction plan, government should select target migration populations according to the influence factors, and make the optimal migration policy to enhance farmers expectations to income, production and living environment, thereby strengthening the migration willingness