长江流域资源与环境 >> 2022, Vol. 31 >> Issue (4): 759-769.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202204004

• 区域可持续发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

长江经济带消费中心城市时空特征及驱动因素

吴  娟1,曹卫东1,2*,张  宇1,陶  杰1   

  1. (1.安徽师范大学地理与旅游学院,安徽 芜湖 241002;2.安徽师范大学城市与区域规划研究中心,安徽 芜湖 241002)
  • 出版日期:2022-04-20 发布日期:2022-04-21

Temporal and Spatial Characteristics and Driving Factors of Consumption Center Cities in Yangtze River Economic Belt

WU Juan1, CAO Wei-dong1,2, ZHANG Yu1,TAO Jie1   

  1. (1 School of Geography and Tourism, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu 241002, China; 2. Research Center of Urban and Regional Planning, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu 241002, China)
  • Online:2022-04-20 Published:2022-04-21

摘要: 在“双循环”的背景下,将发展的立足点放在国内,依靠国内市场积极扩大内需是中国现有阶段实现经济发展的必然选择。通过构建消费中心城市指标体系,利用标准差椭圆、莫兰指数、GWR模型来探索消费中心城市的时空演化及其影响因素。结果显示:(1)上海始终是长江经济带唯一的带域消费中心城市,有着绝对的领先优势;而省域消费中心城市大多集中在长三角重要经济中心城市以及省会城市;(2)长江经济带整体消费中心城市呈现“西南-东北”的空间分布格局,出现不断向东(偏北)方向集聚态势,上游呈现“西南-东北”方向分布,中下游则出现相反方向,呈现“东南-西北”分布格局;(3)2000、2010、2018年长江经济带消费中心城市出现明显的空间集聚性,并且集聚性逐渐加强;(4)三产产业的比重、经济发展水平、人口流动、金融业的发展以及政府支持均有利于促进消费中心城市的发展,其中第三产业的比重以及金融业的发展对带域消费中心城市以及省域消费中心城市的拉动作用明显,但城乡收入比对消费中心城市呈负向相关,对消费中心城市的发展有抑制作用。对消费中心城市的时空分布格局以及驱动因素进行研判,希冀能为长江经济带消费中心城市发展提供一定的参考价值。

Abstract: Under the background of “double circulation”, it is an inevitable choice to put the foothold of development in China and actively expand domestic demand by relying on the domestic market. By constructing the index system of consumption center city, this paper explores the temporal and spatial evolution of consumption center city and its influencing factors by using standard deviation ellipse, Moran index and GWR model. The results show that: (1) Shanghai has always been the only regional consumption center city in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, with absolute leading advantages; Most of the provincial consumption center cities are concentrated in the important economic center cities of the Yangtze River Delta and some provincial capital cities; (2) The overall consumption center cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt present a “southwest-northeast” spatial distribution pattern, and constantly gather in the east (north) direction. The upstream shows a “southwest-northeast” distribution pattern, while the middle and lower reaches show an opposite direction, showing a “southeast-northwest” distribution pattern; (3) In 2000, 2010 and 2018, the consumption center cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt showed obvious spatial agglomeration, and the agglomeration gradually strengthened; (4) The proportion of tertiary industry, economic development level, population mobility, the development of financial industry and government support are all conducive to promoting the development of consumption center cities, among which the proportion of tertiary industry and the development of financial industry have obvious pulling effect on regional consumption center cities and provincial consumption center cities, but the income ratio between urban and rural areas is negatively correlated with that of consumption center cities, which has an inhibitory effect on the development of consumption center cities. This paper studies the spatial and temporal distribution pattern and driving factors of consumption center cities, hoping to provide certain reference value for the development of consumption center cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.

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