长江流域资源与环境 >> 2024, Vol. 33 >> Issue (10): 2236-2250.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202410013

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

赣江流域生境质量时空格局演化及预测研究

赖智勇1,廖富强1*,舒晓波1,万智巍2   

  1. (1.江西师范大学地理与环境学院/鄱阳湖湿地与流域研究教育部重点实验室,江西 南昌 330022;2.赣南师范大学地理与环境工程学院,江西 赣州 341000)
  • 出版日期:2024-10-20 发布日期:2024-11-07

Spatio-temporal Evolution and Prediction of Habitat Quality in Ganjiang River Basin

LAI Zhi-yong1,LIAO Fu-qiang1,SHU Xiao-bo1,WAN Zhi-wei2   

  1. (1. School of Geography and Environment, Jiangxi Normal University/Key Laboratory of Poyang Lake Wetland and Watershed Research, Ministry of Education, Nanchang 330022, China;2. School of Geography and Environmental Engineering, Gannan Normal University, Ganzhou 341000, China)
  • Online:2024-10-20 Published:2024-11-07

摘要: 流域是典型的山水林田湖草生命共同体,研究流域生境质量时空变化特征对区域生态环境保护与可持续发展具有重要意义。基于1980~2020年土地利用数据,运用InVEST模型、PLUS模型、空间自相关、冷热点分析、标准差椭圆等方法对赣江流域1980~2030年生境质量时空格局演变特征进行分析并预测,研究发现:(1)1980~2030年,赣江流域主要土地利用类型为水田、旱地和林地,总体上,水田、林地面积持续减少,城镇用地、农村居民点和其它建设用地面积持续增加。(2)1980~2030年,赣江流域生境质量呈现“上游高、中下游低”的空间分布格局,生境质量平均值由1980年的0.824 4下降到2030年的0.804 6,生境质量整体呈下降趋势。(3)1980~2030年,生境质量呈现显著的空间集聚特征,且具有明显的冷热点;冷点主要分布在流域北部鄱阳湖平原、中部吉泰盆地以及南部沿江平原地区,热点则主要分布在雩山山脉与武夷山脉地区;2030年冷点将进一步向外扩散,且南北方向比东西方向的扩散态势更为强劲,热点则在“西北-东南”方向的扩散态势弱于“东北-西南”方向的收缩倾向。(4)赣江流域1980~2030年生境退化的强度有所增加,生境退化的趋势愈加明显,生境退化程度日渐加深的子流域有锦江流域、消江流域、袁水流域、乌江流域、赣江泰和段、梅江流域、绵水流域、桃江流域以及湘水流域等。研究结果可为赣江流域生境保护及区域协调提供相应科学依据和决策参考。

Abstract: River Basin is a typical life community of "mountains, rivers, forests, fields, lakes and grasses". Study of spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of habitat quality at basin scales is of great significance to the regional ecological environmental protection and sustainable development. Based on land use data from 1980 to 2020 and by using InVEST model, PLUS model, spatial autocorrelation, cold and hot spot analysis, and standard deviation ellipse, this study analyzed and predicted the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of habitat quality in Ganjiang River Basin (in Poyang Lake of Jiangxi Province) for the period of 1980-2030. The results showed that: (1) From 1980 to 2030, the main land use type was paddy field, dry land and forest. In general, the area of paddy field and forest continued to decrease whereas the area of urban land, rural settlement and other construction land continued to increase. (2) The habitat quality showed a spatial distribution pattern of "high in the upper reaches and low in the middle and lower reaches". The average value of habitat quality decreased from 0.824 4 in 1980 to 0.804 6 in 2030, indicating an overall decreasing habitat quality. (3) The habitat quality showed significant spatial clustering characteristics with obvious hot and cold spots. The cold spots were mainly distributed in the Poyang Lake Plain in the northern part of the Basin, the Jitai Basin in the central part of the Basin, and the riverside plains in the south, while the hot spots were mainly distributed in Yushan Mountain Range and Wuyi Mountain Range. The cold spots in 2030 would spread outward, and the north-south direction would be more powerful than the east-west direction. The hot spots may have a weaker tendency of spreading out in the "northwest-southeast" direction than that of contracting in the "northeast - southwest" direction. (4) The intensity of habitat degradation in the Basin increased from 1980 to 2030, and the trend of habitat degradation became more obvious. The sub-basins where the degree of habitat degradation was increasingly deteriorated included Jinjiang River Basin, Xiaojiang River Basin, Yuanshui River Basin, Wujiang River Basin, Taihe section of Ganjiang River, Meijiang River Basin, Mianshui River Basin, Taojiang River Basin and Xiangshui River Basin. These results may provide scientific basis for decision-making towards a better management of habitat protection and regional coordination in Ganjiang River Basin.

No related articles found!
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
No Suggested Reading articles found!