长江流域资源与环境 >> 2024, Vol. 33 >> Issue (12): 2562-2576.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202412002

• 区域可持续发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于MO-OLS方法的创新型城市建设环境影响因素时空效应研究 ——以湖北省为例

彭甲超1,2,张自升1,付书科1,2*,田嘉莉1,2   

  1. (1. 武汉工程大学法商学院,湖北 武汉 430205; 2. 武汉工程大学资源环境与经济高质量发展研究中心,湖北 武汉 430205)
  • 出版日期:2024-12-20 发布日期:2024-12-27

Spatio-temporal Effects of Environmental Factors on the Innovation-oriented Urban Construction Based on the MO-OLS Method:  A Case Study of Hubei Province

PENG Jia-chao1,2,ZHANG Zi-sheng1,FU Shu-ke1,2,TIAN Jia-li1,2   

  1. (1. School of Law and Business, Wuhan Institute of Technology, Wuhan 430205, China;2. Center for High Quality Collaborative 
    Development of Resources, Environment and Economy, Wuhan Institute of Technology, Wuhan 430205, China)
  • Online:2024-12-20 Published:2024-12-27

摘要: 针对快速城市化所带来的挑战、可持续发展的推进以及居民生活质量的提升,创新型城市建设扮演着至关重要的角色。通过构建湖北省创新型城市建设进展指标体系,采用平均观测值最小二乘回归(MO-OLS)方法研究1990~2019年湖北省创新型城市建设进展中环境影响因素的时空效应,弥补传统计量方法对待估系数固定的不足。研究发现:(1)创新创业环境、风险投资环境对湖北省创新型城市建设的影响效应时间变化趋势高度一致,呈增长趋势;而外来投资的时间影响效应系数则呈现逐渐减弱的趋势,环境治理对创新型城市建设的时间影响效应相对稳定。(2)从空间效应上看,相较于其他因素,环境治理在湖北创新型城市建设的影响效应有限,而外来投资和风险投资在对创新型城市建设的影响存在着明显的地域异质性,这其中环境因素对武汉创新型城市检验的空间效应表现尤为明显。文章不仅扩展了环境影响的动态系数估计方法应用,也为区域创新型城市建设的政策制定提供了新的视角和实证依据。

Abstract: In the face of the challenges of rapid urbanization, the innovation-oriented urban construction plays a crucial role in the promotion of sustainable development, and the improvement of residents' quality of life. This article constructed an index system to measure the progress of innovative urban construction in Hubei Province and used the method of Mean Observation OLS (MO-OLS) regression to study the temporal and spatial effects of environmental factors on innovative urban construction from 1990 to 2019. This study aimed to overcome the shortcomings of traditional statistical methods that adopted fixed coefficients. The study found that, the entrepreneurial environment and venture capital showed a synergistic growth trend in promoting the innovative urban construction in Hubei Province. The impact coefficient of the entrepreneurial environment fluctuated less and had a relatively stable pushing effect. In contrast, the impact coefficient of venture capital was distributed in a wider range, with larger fluctuations. The impact coefficient of foreign investment showed a decreasing trend, while the impact coefficient of environmental regulation and its quadratic term remained relatively stable. Environmental governance contributed the least to the major innovative urban construction in Hubei Province. Specifically, the effects of the entrepreneurial environment, environmental governance, and venture capital in Wuhan City were leading other cities, while the contributions of foreign investment and venture capital to innovative construction varied significantly among different cities in Hubei Province. The use of the Mean Observation OLS method and the application of the environmental factors in the process of innovative urban construction in Hubei Province broadened the analytical paradigm of regional innovation research technically, and also provided a new perspective for understanding the spatiotemporal heterogeneity and complexity of innovation impact theoretically.

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