长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (1): 14-27.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202501002

• 区域可持续发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

长江经济带人口集聚对科技创新影响的空间异质性研究

金巍1,2,蒋薇1*   

  1. (1.南京邮电大学社会与人口学院, 江苏 南京 210023;2.南京邮电大学高质量发展评价研究院,江苏 南京 210023)
  • 出版日期:2025-01-20 发布日期:2025-01-24

Spatial Heterogeneity of the Impact of Population Agglomeration on Technological Innovation in the Yangtze River Economic Belt 

JIN Wei1,2, JIANG Wei1   

  1. (1. School of Sociology and Population Sciences, Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Nanjing 210023, China;
     2. High-Quality Development Evaluation Institute, Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Nanjing 210023, China)  
  • Online:2025-01-20 Published:2025-01-24

摘要: 科技创新和人口集聚作为推动长江经济带高质量发展的关键因素,对中国式现代化建设具有重要影响。利用2010~2021年长江经济带110个地级及以上城市的面板数据,实证分析科技创新与人口集聚的空间关联网络及人口集聚对科技创新的作用机制,结果表明:(1)在科技创新、人口集聚的空间关联网络中,长三角地区大多数城市处于中心地位,但在两个关联网络中的排名差异较大;省会城市在科技创新空间关联网络中的溢出效应显著。(2)整体来看,长江经济带人口集聚不利于本地区科技创新水平提高,研发人员和服务业发展有利于提高科技创新水平,而经济发展也抑制科技创新。(3)分流段来看,上游人口集聚显著促进了本地区科技创新,但抑制周边城市科技创新;中游人口集聚不利于本区域和周边城市的科技创新;下游人口集聚对本区域科技创新具有潜在的支撑作用,而对周边城市的正向溢出效应显著;上中下游研发人员和服务业发展有利于科技创新。为此,各地应因地施策、优化人才激励机制,引导人口合理集聚,以实现流域科技创新高质量协同均衡发展。

Abstract: As the key factors to promote the high-quality development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB), scientific and technological innovation and population agglomeration have an important impact on the Chinese-style modernization. Therefore, using the panel data of 110 cities at or above the prefecture level in the YREB from 2010 to 2021, this paper empirically analyzed the spatial correlation network between scientific and technological innovation and population agglomeration and the mechanism of population agglomeration on scientific and technological innovation. The results showed that: (1) Most cities in the YREB were in the central position, but their rankings in the two correlation networks were quite different; The spillover effect of provincial capital city in the spatial correlation network of science and technology innovation was significant. (2) Population agglomeration in the YREB was not conducive to improving the level of scientific and technological innovation. The development of R&D personnel and service industry was conducive to improving the level of scientific and technological innovation, while economic development also inhibited scientific and technological innovation. (3) From the perspective of the diverging segment, the upstream population agglomeration significantly promoted the scientific and technological innovation, but inhibited the scientific and technological innovation in the surrounding cities; The population agglomeration in the middle reaches was not conducive to scientific and technological innovationand the surrounding cities. The downstream population agglomeration had a potential supporting effect on the regional science and technology innovation, and the positive spillover effect on the surrounding cities was significant. The development of R&D personnel and service industries in the upper, middle and lower reaches was conducive to scientific and technological innovation. To this end, all localities should implement local policies, optimize the talent incentive mechanism, and guide the population to gather rationally in order to achieve high-quality coordinated and balanced development of scientific and technological innovation in the YREB.

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