长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (05): 1046-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202505011

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

前景理论视角下多元主体环境协同治理的演化博弈分析

裴潇,董艳秋,罗森   

  1. (长江大学经济与管理学院,湖北 荆州 434023)
  • 出版日期:2025-05-20 发布日期:2025-05-22

Evolutionary Game Analysis of Multi-subjects Environmental Collaborative Governance from the Perspective of Prospect Theory

PEI Xiao,DONG Yan-qiu,LUO Sen    


  1. (School of Economic and Management,Yangtze University,Jingzhou 434023,China)
  • Online:2025-05-20 Published:2025-05-22

摘要: 构建多元主体环境协同治理体系是推进中国式现代化的重要举措。基于前景理论,建立了“政府-企业-公众”的动态演化博弈模型,深入分析了环境协同治理中多元主体的策略选择和决策机制,并通过MATLAB软件进行数值仿真实验,揭示了博弈方初始意愿、奖惩力度、风险偏好系数和损失规避系数等因素对环境协同治理效果的影响。研究发现:(1)博弈主体的决策行为不仅受自身策略的影响,还受其他方策略的制约,并能在特定条件下实现均衡;(2)尽管博弈方初始意愿和政府奖惩力度会影响系统演化速度,但这些因素不会改变最终的策略选择,系统将稳定地演化至理想状态;(3)感知价值函数中的风险偏好系数与损失规避系数对系统稳定策略有显著影响,提高博弈主体对奖惩的感知价值是实现最优均衡的关键。

Abstract: Building an environmental collaborative governance system involving multiple subjects is a significant measure to promote Chinese-style modernization. This paper constructed a dynamic evolutionary game model of "government-enterprise-public", based on perspective of prospect theory. This study analyzed the strategy selection and decision-making mechanisms of multi-subjects in environmental governance. Through numerical simulation experiments using MATLAB software, this paper revealed how factors such as the initial intentions of the players, the intensity of rewards and punishments, risk preference coefficients, and loss aversion coefficients affected the effectiveness of environmental collaborative governance. These findings indicated that:(1)The decision-making behavior of game players was influenced by their own and others' strategy selection and reached an equilibrium state under certain conditions.(2)Although the initial intentions of game players and the strength of governmental rewards and punishments affected the speed of system evolution, these factors did not change the final strategy selection, and the system evolved stably towards an ideal state.(3)The coefficients of risk preference and loss aversion in the perceived utility function significantly affected stable strategies in system evolution, which enhanced game players' perception of the value of rewards. Punishments were crucial for achieving optimal equilibrium.

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