长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (09): 2118-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202509018

• 农业发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

畜禽养殖业污染协同治理的动态调整与实现路径#br# ——基于演化博弈的理论与实证分析

黄伟华1,2,祁春节3,王华4   

  1. (1.湖北工业大学经济与管理学院,湖北 武汉 430068;2.湖北农村社会管理创新研究中心,湖北 武汉 430068;
    3.华中农业大学经济管理学院,湖北 武汉 430070;4.石河子大学经济与管理学院,新疆 石河子 832061)
  • 出版日期:2025-09-20 发布日期:2025-09-22

 Dynamic Adjustment and Implementation Pathways for Collaborative Governance of Pollution in the Livestock and Poultry Breeding Industry: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis Based on Evolutionary Game Theory

HUANG Wei-hua1,2, QI Chun-jie 3, WANG Hua4   

  1. (1. School of Economics and Management, Hubei University of Technology, Wuhan 430068, China;
    2. Hubei Rural Social Management Innovation Research Center, Wuhan 430068, China;
    3. School of Economics and Management, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China;
    4. College of Economics and Management, Shihezi University, Shihezi 832061, China)
  • Online:2025-09-20 Published:2025-09-22

摘要: 在中国式环境分权的背景下,提出中央政府和地方政府委托代理框架下畜禽养殖污染处置决策的基本假设,构建了“中央-地方-养殖企业”动态博弈模型,探讨了中央政府、地方政府和养殖企业策略选择的演化过程和作用机理,并利用仿真模拟模型对促进各博弈主体实现理想化博弈的政策工具进行动态分析。结果表明,中央政府、地方政府和养殖企业三方行为决策间存在较强的关联性和多重演化稳定策略。其中,在中央政府选择高环境分权度、地方政府选择加强环境监管、养殖企业选择污染减排的情景下,三方主体以最快的速度达成有效的稳定均衡。通过对混合均衡策略进行参数敏感性分析可知,增加污染治理专项补贴力度、增加绿色发展政绩考核力度等措施有助于激励地方政府积极进行环境监管和污染治理。此外,提升环境保护税额、加强污染监管惩罚力度、提高地方政府的补贴拨付比例等举措使得污染减排成为养殖企业的演化稳定策略。据此,从利益分配机制和内生制度设计角度提出了促进三方主体激励相容,实现最优均衡的解决方案。

Abstract: Against the backdrop of environmental decentralization with Chinese characteristics, this paper posited fundamental assumptions concerning pollution management decision-making in livestock and poultry farming within the principal-agent framework of the central and local governments. A dynamic game model encompassing the “central government, local governments, and livestock enterprises” was developed to investigate the evolutionary processes and mechanisms underlying the strategic choices of these entities. Utilizing a simulation model, the paper dynamically analyzed policy instruments aiming at facilitating an idealized game equilibrium among the stakeholders. The findings revealed significant interconnections and multiple evolutionarily stable strategies among the decision-making behaviors of the central government, local governments, and livestock enterprises. Specifically, the most rapid attainment of an effective stable equilibrium occurred when the central government opted for a high degree of environmental decentralization, local governments intensified environmental regulation, and livestock enterprises committed to pollution reduction. Sensitivity analysis of mixed equilibrium strategies indicated that measures such as increasing special subsidies for pollution control and enhancing the assessment of green development performance could incentivize local governments to actively engage in environmental regulation and pollution management. Furthermore, raising environmental protection taxes, strengthening penalties for pollution violations, and increasing the proportion of subsidies allocated by local governments could make pollution reduction an evolutionarily stable strategy for livestock enterprises. Consequently, the paper proposed corresponding solutions from the perspectives of profit distribution mechanisms and endogenous institutional design to promote incentive compatibility among the three parties and to achieve an optimal equilibrium.

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