长江流域资源与环境 >> 2026, Vol. 35 >> Issue (2): 404-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202602010

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

长江经济带退耕还林工程对区域生态系统服务价值的影响研究

柯新利,吴璠,何利杰,周青*   

  1. (华中农业大学公共管理学院,湖北 武汉 430070)
  • 出版日期:2026-02-20 发布日期:2026-02-26

Impact of the Grain for Green Program in the Yangtze River Economic Belt on the Value of Regional Ecosystem Services

KE Xin-li, WU Fan, HE Li-jie , ZHOU Qing   

  1. (College of Public Administration, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China)
  • Online:2026-02-20 Published:2026-02-26

摘要: 退耕还林工程(以下简称“工程”)作为重要的生态建设活动,其实施所造成的区域差异化生态效应及权衡关系尚缺乏定量解析。研究耦合FLUS-InVEST模型,评估了长江经济带退耕还林工程的实施成效及其生态效益,系统揭示流域上、中、下游生态系统服务价值的区际梯度差异与权衡关系,并模拟了未来不同情景下工程实施的生态效益。结果表明:(1)2000~2020年间,全域退耕还林面积达1.44×105 km2,其中上游(0.21×105 km2)、中游(0.12×105 km2)、下游(0.04×105 km2)呈现梯度递减格局。城镇化进程在一定程度上制约了工程实施成效,导致中、下游林地面积较工程初期分别减少了0.02×105 和0.01×105  km2。(2)工程导致区域间生态系统服务呈现协同与权衡关系,上游碳储量增加3.76亿 t,中游土壤保持量提升6.24亿t;但下游粮食产量(-311.99万 t)与生境质量指标值均降幅显著(-0.25)。(3)情景模拟显示,生态优先情景下(2040年)生态系统服务总价值较2020年提升了520%,优于自然发展情景(-1.31%)与坡度导向情景(-32.41%),上、中、下游总价值分别提升0.22、0.02和0.01。未来应进一步巩固长江经济带上游碳汇优势、强化中游水土保持,并恢复下游粮食产能,实现区际优势互补与整体效益最大化。

Abstract: As a key ecological conservation initiative, the Grain for Green Program (hereinafter referred to as the "Program") has yet to undergo a quantitative analysis of the regionally differentiated ecological effects and trade-off relationships resulting from its implementation.This study integrates the FLUS-InVEST model to assess the Program’s effectiveness and ecological benefits in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.This study systematically reveals the inter-regional gradient differences and trade-offs in ecosystem service values across the upper, middle, and lower reaches of the basin, while also simulating the ecological benefits of the Program under various future scenarios.The results showed that: (1) From 2000 to 2020, the total area converted under the Program across the entire region reached 144×105  km2, presenting a gradient decreasing pattern in the upper reaches (021×105  km2), middle reaches (012×105  km2), and lower reaches (004×105  km2).The urbanization process, to a certain extent, constrained the effectiveness of the Program implementation, resulting in a reduction of forest land area in the middle and lower reaches by 002×105  km2 and 001×105  km2, respectively, compared with the initial stage of the Program.(2) The Program led to both synergistic and trade-off relationships among inter-regional ecosystem services: carbon storage in the upper reaches increased by 376 million tons, and soil retention in the middle reaches rose by 624 million tons.However, the grain yield in the lower reaches (-31199 million tons) and the habitat quality index value (-025) both decreased significantly.(3) Scenario simulations indicated that under the ecology-priority scenario (2040), the total value of ecosystem services increased by 520% compared with that in 2020, which was superior to the natural development scenario (-131%) and the slope-oriented scenario (-3241%).The total values in the upper, middle, and lower reaches increased by 022, 002, and 001, respectively.In the future, efforts should be made to further consolidate the carbon sink advantages in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, strengthen soil and water conservation in the middle reaches, and restore grain production capacity in the lower reaches, so as to realize inter-regional complementary advantages and maximize the overall benefits

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